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PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk IDR 34, price IDR 183, upside -81.7%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · ID

PK Thin data Sep 24, 2026

PT Koka Indonesia Tbk

KOKA · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 33.56 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 28/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +22.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -20.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

410.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 33.56 IDR Oct 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

35‑month range 50.00 IDR – 410.00 IDR · fair‑value band 22.15 IDR – 41.95 IDR · the 183.00 IDR price screens above the 33.56 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Koka Indonesia Tbk engages in general contracting of construction projects, mechanical and geotechnical engineering, interior office and furniture, and other businesses in Indonesia. The company offers building construction; industrial factory construction; and bridges and tunnels services.

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PT Koka Indonesia Tbk engages in general contracting of construction projects, mechanical and geotechnical engineering, interior office and furniture, and other businesses in Indonesia. The company offers building construction; industrial factory construction; and bridges and tunnels services. PT Koka Indonesia Tbk was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA) currently trades at 183.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.56 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 445.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 22.15 IDR (bear) to 41.95 IDR (bull), the price of 183.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

PT Koka Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 37.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 140B IDR in FY2021, a compound −28.0%/yr. Reported net income was −26.2B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 524B IDR (≈ $29.3M) · P/S ratio 6.94 · Net margin −69.9% · Return on equity −9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.0% · Operating margin −1.1% · Revenue (TTM) 73.8B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +434%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 110% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −82%, KOKA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 22.15 IDR Fair Value 33.56 IDR Bull 41.95 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 26.88 IDR 36.01 IDR 53.75 IDR 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 26.88 IDR 36.01 IDR 53.75 IDR 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−43.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−41.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.4% (2020) → −67.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KOKA screens 445% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 434% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $634.90 $163.08 −74%
Vinci SA DG €110.50 €185.62 +68%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,626 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.00 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €92.75 €75.04 −19%
EMCOR Group EME $751.80 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $217.52 $106.05 −51%

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PT Koka Indonesia Tbk · Fair Value
33.56 IDR −445%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Koka Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOKA

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.56 IDR versus a price of 183.00 IDR, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOKA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is 33.56 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 183.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KOKA?
PT Koka Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.56 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 22.15 IDR, optimistic scenario 41.95 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Koka Indonesia Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.56 IDR, about −82% upside versus a price of 183.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 22.15 IDR, optimistic scenario 41.95 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
PT Koka Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.8B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Koka Indonesia Tbk it is 33.56 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 183.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Koka Indonesia Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KOKA trades above its calculated fair value: price 183.00 IDR, fair value 33.56 IDR, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOKA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (183.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.56 IDR). For PT Koka Indonesia Tbk the two are 149.44 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Koka Indonesia Tbk worth?
The market values PT Koka Indonesia Tbk at about 524B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 183.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 33.56 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOKA?
Our models span a range for PT Koka Indonesia Tbk: cautious scenario 22.15 IDR, base 33.56 IDR, optimistic 41.95 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 183.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −9.9%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOKA from its 52-week high?
PT Koka Indonesia Tbk trades at 183.00 IDR, about 55% below its 52-week high of 410.00 IDR and 110% above the low of 87.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.56 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Koka Indonesia Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Koka Indonesia Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 183.00 IDR, calculated fair value 33.56 IDR (−82%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOKA calculated?
We run PT Koka Indonesia Tbk through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.56 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Koka Indonesia Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 183.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 33.56 IDR, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Koka Indonesia Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (41.95 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (22.15 IDR to 41.95 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
The market capitalisation of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is 524B IDR (≈ $29.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is 6.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
The net margin of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is −69.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is −9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is 13.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
The operating margin of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
Revenue at PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is growing +434% versus a year earlier (3y avg −41.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA)?
Earnings per share at PT Koka Indonesia Tbk are growing +48.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA) generate?
The free cash flow of PT Koka Indonesia Tbk is −26.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does PT Koka Indonesia Tbk (KOKA) hold?
PT Koka Indonesia Tbk holds more cash than debt, 1.6B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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