Koszalinskie Przedsiebiorstwo Przemyslu Drzewnego SA (KPD) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · PL · Market cap 32.4M PLN (≈ $8.7M) · ISIN PLKPPD000017
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from 11.55 PLN to 61.28 PLN (+430.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +16.9% over the past month.
A solid business, trading 66% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (40.55 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (40.55 PLN to 82.01 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 17.70 PLN – 99.30 PLN · fair‑value band 40.55 PLN – 82.01 PLN · the 20.80 PLN price screens below the 61.28 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Koszalinskie Przedsiebiorstwo Przemyslu Drzewnego SA (KPD) currently trades at 20.80 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 61.28 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 194.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Koszalinskie Przedsiebiorstwo Przemyslu Drzewnego SA generated revenue of 332M PLN at a net margin of -6.1%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -20.4%. Net debt stands at 12.7M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 40.55 PLN (bear case) to 82.01 PLN (bull case); at 20.80 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at 195%, KPD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (73.01 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (35.71 PLN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Koszalinskie Przedsiebiorstwo Przemyslu Drzewnego Spólka Akcyjna produces and sells lumber products in Poland and internationally.
Full company description
Koszalinskie Przedsiebiorstwo Przemyslu Drzewnego Spólka Akcyjna produces and sells lumber products in Poland and internationally. The company offers softwood and construction lumber; softwood planned and impregnated timber; timber for garden development; pine cladding; softwood rounded wood; hardwood lumber; glued boards; firewood; and parts for sawmill machinery. It primarily serves building carpentry producers, furniture factories, commercial warehouses, producers of garden programs and glued goods, and carpentry and impregnation centers for railway sleepers. Koszalinskie Przedsiebiorstwo Przemyslu Drzewnego Spólka Akcyjna was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Szczecinek, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Koszalinskie Przedsiebiorstwo Przemyslu Drzewnego SA reported revenue of 332M PLN in FY2025 versus 416M PLN in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −20.3M PLN in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $182.07 | $145.26 | -20% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$94.11 | C$33.38 | -65% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $88.29 | $107.07 | +21% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $84.25 | $51.39 | -39% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹751.05 | ₹201.01 | -73% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.77 | C$4.54 | -69% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.98 | C$6.43 | -54% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.11 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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