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Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd ¥1.34, price ¥2.15, upside -37.7%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE000000QB0

KN Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd

600076 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.34 · Strongly overvalued (−38%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −18.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -110.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥5.03 ¥1.26 Fair Value ¥1.34 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.26 – ¥5.03 · fair‑value band ¥0.6600 – ¥2.06 · the ¥2.15 price screens above the ¥1.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, construction, and sale of wooden structure buildings in China.

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Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, construction, and sale of wooden structure buildings in China. The company offers container flooring products, including bamboo-wood composite, bamboo mat coated COSB, wear-resistant surface COSB, coated COSB, bamboo-wood composite COSB, and solid wood multi-layer container flooring products; and forestry economic services, such as carbon sink, understory planting, and forest health care services. It is also involved in the processing of wood and sale of forestry products, as well as civilian OSB board operations. Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Xiaogan, China.

Stock analysis

Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076) currently trades at ¥2.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.34, implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.80 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥2.15 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.4700, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.6600 (bear) to ¥2.06 (bull), the price of ¥2.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd reported revenue of 377M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −26.4%/yr. Reported net income was −385M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.1B CNY (≈ $612M) · P/S ratio 11.6 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3000 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin −102% · Return on equity −10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% · Operating margin −77.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −38%, 600076 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.6600 Fair Value ¥1.34 Bull ¥2.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.2800 ¥0.5100 ¥0.7100 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2800 ¥0.4700 ¥0.5500 65
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.34 ¥1.80 ¥2.69 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2800 ¥0.5100 ¥0.7100 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2800 ¥0.4700 ¥0.5500 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.34 ¥1.80 ¥2.69 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.6% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.5% (2020) → −38.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

600076 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 75 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −110% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −77% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −39% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.73× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)24 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $176.70 $194.37 +10%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $83.02 $101.34 +22%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $79.00 $52.27 −34%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹695.60 ₹201.01 −71%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥11.34 ¥15.06 +33%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$16.13 C$4.54 −72%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$15.24 C$6.43 −58%
Greenply Industries Limited GREENPLY ₹296.65 ₹121.86 −59%
Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group 601996 ¥3.00 ¥3.14 +5%
STEICO SE ST5 €18.20 €21.55 +18%

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Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.34 −60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600076

Frequently asked questions

Is Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.34 versus a price of ¥2.15, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600076?
Our model-based fair value for Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is ¥1.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.15.
What is the quality score of 600076?
Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.6600, optimistic scenario ¥2.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.34, about −38% upside versus a price of ¥2.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.6600, optimistic scenario ¥2.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 354M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd it is ¥1.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥2.15. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 600076 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.15, fair value ¥1.34, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600076?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.34). For Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd the two are ¥0.8100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd worth?
The market values Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd at about 4.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600076?
Our models span a range for Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.6600, base ¥1.34, optimistic ¥2.06 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥2.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.2%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600076 from its 52-week high?
Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd trades at ¥2.15, about 54% below its 52-week high of ¥4.72 and at the low of ¥2.15 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥2.15, calculated fair value ¥1.34 (−38%), Quality Score 37/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600076 calculated?
We run Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥2.15. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.34, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥0.6600 to ¥2.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
The market capitalisation of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is 4.1B CNY (≈ $612M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is 11.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
Earnings per share at Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd are ¥−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
The dividend yield of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
The net margin of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is −102% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is −10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
The operating margin of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is −77.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
Revenue at Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is growing −39.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076)?
Earnings per share at Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd are growing −11.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076) generate?
The free cash flow of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is −122M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076) carry?
The net debt of Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd is 809M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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