Kangxin New Materials Co (600076) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from ¥0.7600 to ¥1.34 (+76.3%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price −4.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.6600 to ¥2.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.26 – ¥5.03 · fair‑value band ¥0.6600 – ¥2.06 · the ¥3.01 price screens above the ¥1.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Kangxin New Materials Co (600076) currently trades at ¥3.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.34, implying the stock looks roughly 55.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 354M CNY. Revenue declined 39.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.2%. Net debt stands at 809M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6600 (bear case) to ¥2.06 (bull case); at ¥3.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -55%, 600076 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.80) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.5500). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, construction, and sale of wooden structure buildings in China.
Full company description
Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, construction, and sale of wooden structure buildings in China. The company offers container flooring products, including bamboo-wood composite, bamboo mat coated COSB, wear-resistant surface COSB, coated COSB, bamboo-wood composite COSB, and solid wood multi-layer container flooring products; and forestry economic services, such as carbon sink, understory planting, and forest health care services. It is also involved in the processing of wood and sale of forestry products, as well as civilian OSB board operations. Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Xiaogan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kangxin New Materials Co reported revenue of ¥377M in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound −26.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥385M in FY2025.
600076 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Yunnan Jinggu Forestry Co 600265 | ¥21.99 | ¥2.52 | -89% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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