Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $40.8M · ISIN US4931441095
What is Key Tronic Corporation really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 59% below our fair value of $6.06.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −36.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($1.85 to $10.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.26 – $7.31 · fair‑value band $1.85 – $10.27 · the $2.51 price screens below the $6.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) currently trades at $2.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.06, implying the stock looks roughly 58.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.86 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the $2.51 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $4.61, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Key Tronic Corporation generated revenue of $395M at a net margin of −4.4%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −15.6%. Net debt stands at $117M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.85 (bear case) to $10.27 (bull case); at $2.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 141%, KTCC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($7.86) versus Growth DCF ($4.61). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company offers integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, precision plastic molding, printed circuit board and complete product assembly, component selection, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing and production services. It also provides product and prototype design, surface mount technologies and pin through hole capability for printed circuit board assembly, tool making, sheet metal fabrication and painting, liquid injection molding, and complex and full product assembly. In addition, the company offers precision metal stamping, fabricating, and finishing; automated processes, including component insertion, selective soldering, flexible robotic assembly, computerized vision system quality inspection, laser turrets, automated switch and key top installation, robotic welding, automated powder coat application, and automated functional testing; and research, development, and engineering services. It markets its products and services through field sales people and distributors. The company exports its products. Key Tronic Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Spokane Valley, Washington.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Key Tronic Corporation reported revenue of $468M in FY2025 versus $519M in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 230 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $456.24 | $187.75 | −59% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $201.09 | $57.72 | −71% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $468.88 | $47.49 | −90% |
| Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 | ¥246.21 | ¥30.66 | −88% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥36.47 | ¥40.44 | +11% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥376.88 | ¥91.67 | −76% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$30.12 | HK$33.70 | +12% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥83.19 | ¥39.38 | −53% |
| HP Inc HPQ | $30.52 | $48.62 | +59% |
| Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 | ¥73.79 | ¥44.02 | −40% |
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