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Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $40.8M · ISIN US4931441095

What is Key Tronic Corporation really worth?

KT Key Tronic Corporation logo Key Tronic Corporation KTCC · US
Price$2.51
Fair Value$6.06
Upside+141.4%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, trading 59% below our fair value of $6.06.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.4% net margin
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.85 to $10.27
Evidence: Low Range $1.85 – $10.27

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −36.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.85 to $10.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.31 $2.26 Fair Value $6.06 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.26 – $7.31 · fair‑value band $1.85 – $10.27 · the $2.51 price screens below the $6.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) currently trades at $2.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.06, implying the stock looks roughly 58.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.86 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the $2.51 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $4.61, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Key Tronic Corporation generated revenue of $395M at a net margin of −4.4%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −15.6%. Net debt stands at $117M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.85 (bear case) to $10.27 (bull case); at $2.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 141%, KTCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.67 $4.77 $8.33 76
Growth DCF $1.80 $4.61 $7.70 75
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.85 $6.83 $12.31 70
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.67 $4.77 $8.33 76
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.85 $6.83 $12.31 70
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4400 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.66 $5.38 $9.79 64
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $3.65 $7.86 $12.07 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.39 $7.23 $10.79 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.80 $4.61 $7.70 75

Widest divergence: Multiples ($7.86) versus Growth DCF ($4.61). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.10 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−1.60
Net margin −1.8% FY2025
Return on equity −15.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% avg 5y
Operating margin −0.5% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $395M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −20.0% 3y avg −4.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −88.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $14.8M FY2025
Net debt $117M FY2025 · ≈ 7.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company offers integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, precision plastic molding, printed circuit board and complete product assembly, component selection, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing and production services. It also provides product and prototype design, surface mount technologies and pin through hole capability for printed circuit board assembly, tool making, sheet metal fabrication and painting, liquid injection molding, and complex and full product assembly. In addition, the company offers precision metal stamping, fabricating, and finishing; automated processes, including component insertion, selective soldering, flexible robotic assembly, computerized vision system quality inspection, laser turrets, automated switch and key top installation, robotic welding, automated powder coat application, and automated functional testing; and research, development, and engineering services. It markets its products and services through field sales people and distributors. The company exports its products. Key Tronic Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Spokane Valley, Washington.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Key Tronic Corporation reported revenue of $468M in FY2025 versus $519M in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$468M
Latest YoY
−17.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (39Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 $519M
FY22 $532M
FY23 $605M
FY24 $567M
FY25 $468M
Net income
FY21 $4.3M
FY22 $3.4M
FY23 $5.2M
FY24 −$2.8M
FY25 −$8.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Key Tronic Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KTCC

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 230 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +141% · Top 25%
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth −20% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.85× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.82× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 59
PAST0 · sector 23
HEALTH58 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $456.24 $187.75 −59%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $201.09 $57.72 −71%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $468.88 $47.49 −90%
Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 ¥246.21 ¥30.66 −88%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥36.47 ¥40.44 +11%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥376.88 ¥91.67 −76%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$30.12 HK$33.70 +12%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥83.19 ¥39.38 −53%
HP Inc HPQ $30.52 $48.62 +59%
Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 ¥73.79 ¥44.02 −40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.06 versus a price of $2.51, about +141% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KTCC?
Our model-based fair value for Key Tronic Corporation is $6.06 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.51.
What is the quality score of KTCC?
Key Tronic Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Key Tronic Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $395M (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KTCC?
The net profit margin of Key Tronic Corporation is about −4.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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