Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $40.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $32.36 to $1.38 (−95.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.42 – $4.26 · fair‑value band $1.38 – $4.42 · the $3.97 price screens above the $1.38 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) currently trades at $3.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.38, implying the stock looks roughly 65.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Key Tronic Corporation generated revenue of $395M at a net margin of -4.4%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.6%. Net debt stands at $117M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.38 (bear case) to $4.42 (bull case); at $3.97, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -65%, KTCC screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company offers integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, precision plastic molding, printed circuit board and complete product assembly, component selection, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing and production services. It also provides product and prototype design, surface mount technologies and pin through hole capability for printed circuit board assembly, tool making, sheet metal fabrication and painting, liquid injection molding, and complex and full product assembly. In addition, the company offers precision metal stamping, fabricating, and finishing; automated processes, including component insertion, selective soldering, flexible robotic assembly, computerized vision system quality inspection, laser turrets, automated switch and key top installation, robotic …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Key Tronic Corporation reported revenue of $468M in FY2025 versus $519M in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.3M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.