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Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $40.8M

KT Key Tronic Corporation logo Key Tronic Corporation KTCC · US
Price$3.97
Fair Value$1.38
Upside-65.2%
Quality52/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $1.38 – $4.42

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $32.36 to $1.38 (−95.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.26 $2.42 Fair Value $1.38 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $2.42 – $4.26 · fair‑value band $1.38 – $4.42 · the $3.97 price screens above the $1.38 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) currently trades at $3.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.38, implying the stock looks roughly 65.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Key Tronic Corporation generated revenue of $395M at a net margin of -4.4%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.6%. Net debt stands at $117M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.38 (bear case) to $4.42 (bull case); at $3.97, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -65%, KTCC screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $395M
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.0%
Net margin -4.4%
Return on equity -15.6%
Free cash flow $14.8M FY2025
Operating margin -0.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.60
EPS growth (YoY) -88.1%
Net debt $117M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company offers integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, precision plastic molding, printed circuit board and complete product assembly, component selection, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing and production services. It also provides product and prototype design, surface mount technologies and pin through hole capability for printed circuit board assembly, tool making, sheet metal fabrication and painting, liquid injection molding, and complex and full product assembly. In addition, the company offers precision metal stamping, fabricating, and finishing; automated processes, including component insertion, selective soldering, flexible robotic assembly, computerized vision system quality inspection, laser turrets, automated switch and key top installation, robotic …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Key Tronic Corporation reported revenue of $468M in FY2025 versus $519M in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.3M in FY2025.

Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 $519M
FY22 $532M
FY23 $605M
FY24 $567M
FY25 $468M
Net income
FY21 $4.3M
FY22 $3.4M
FY23 $5.2M
FY24 −$2.8M
FY25 −$8.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Key Tronic Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KTCC

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Frequently asked questions

Is Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.38 versus a price of $3.97, about −65% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of KTCC?
Our model-based fair value for Key Tronic Corporation is $1.38 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.97.
What is the quality score of KTCC?
Key Tronic Corporation has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Key Tronic Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $395M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KTCC?
The net profit margin of Key Tronic Corporation is about -4.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.