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Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of Key Tronic Corporation $4.09, price $2.16, upside +89.4%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ISIN US4931441095

KT Key Tronic Corporation logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Key Tronic Corporation

KTCC · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

The stock costs 47% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $4.09 · Strongly undervalued (+89.4%)
Moderate debt
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -12.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.31 $2.06 Fair Value $4.09 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.06 – $7.31 · fair‑value band $3.05 – $6.10 · the $2.16 price screens below the $4.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Key Tronic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally.

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The company offers integrated electronic and mechanical engineering, precision plastic molding, printed circuit board and complete product assembly, component selection, sourcing and procurement, logistics, and new product testing and production services.

It also provides product and prototype design, surface mount technologies and pin through hole capability for printed circuit board assembly, tool making, sheet metal fabrication and painting, liquid injection molding, and complex and full product assembly.

In addition, the company offers precision metal stamping, fabricating, and finishing; automated processes, including component insertion, selective soldering, flexible robotic assembly, computerized vision system quality inspection, laser turrets, automated switch and key top installation, robotic welding, automated powder coat application, and automated functional testing; and research, development, and engineering services.

It markets its products and services through field sales people and distributors. The company exports its products. Key Tronic Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Spokane Valley, Washington.

Stock analysis

Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) currently trades at $2.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.09, implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $3.05 (bear) to $6.10 (bull), the price of $2.16 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Key Tronic Corporation reported revenue of $387M in FY2026 versus $532M in FY2022, a compound −7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$47.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $23.5M · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) $−4.41 · Net margin −12.4% · Return on equity −51.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin −17.3% · Revenue (TTM) $387M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 89%, KTCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.05 Fair Value $4.09 Bull $6.10
Price $2.16 · Upside +89.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $3.13 $4.19 $6.25 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.13 $4.19 $6.25 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 11
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 20
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 26
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 5
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 78
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.8% (2021) → −5.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 210 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +89.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −15.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −12.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −17.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.43× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.82× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)29 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sandisk Corporation SNDK $1,582 $2,239 +42% vs KTCC
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥33.24 ¥46.76 +41% vs KTCC
Super Micro Computer, Inc SMCI $42.77 $45.03 +5% vs KTCC
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$32.34 HK$33.73 +4% vs KTCC
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $204.52 $161.24 −21% vs KTCC
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 322.00 TWD 213.20 TWD −34% vs KTCC
Western Digital Corporation WDC $397.28 $182.63 −54% vs KTCC
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $576.76 $195.72 −66% vs KTCC
Everpure, Inc P $154.49 $51.34 −67% vs KTCC
Seagate Technology Holdings STX $747.20 $220.46 −70% vs KTCC

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Key Tronic Corporation · Fair Value
$4.09 +47%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Key Tronic Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KTCC

Frequently asked questions

Is Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.09 versus a price of $2.16, about +89% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KTCC?
Our model-based fair value for Key Tronic Corporation is $4.09 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.16.
What is the quality score of KTCC?
Key Tronic Corporation has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.09 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.05, optimistic scenario $6.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Key Tronic Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.09, about +89% upside versus a price of $2.16 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.05, optimistic scenario $6.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Key Tronic Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $387M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Key Tronic Corporation it is $4.09 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $2.16. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Key Tronic Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, KTCC trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.16, fair value $4.09, a gap of about +89% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KTCC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.09). For Key Tronic Corporation the two are $1.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Key Tronic Corporation worth?
The market values Key Tronic Corporation at about $23.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $2.16; our models calculate a fair value of $4.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KTCC?
Our models span a range for Key Tronic Corporation: cautious scenario $3.05, base $4.09, optimistic $6.10 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $2.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of KTCC?
The PEG ratio of Key Tronic Corporation is 0.82 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Key Tronic Corporation (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −51.3%, debt of 1.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KTCC from its 52-week high?
Key Tronic Corporation trades at $2.16, about 49% below its 52-week high of $4.26 and 5% above the low of $2.06 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Key Tronic Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Sandisk Corporation, Seagate Technology Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Key Tronic Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $2.16, calculated fair value $4.09 (+89%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KTCC calculated?
We run Key Tronic Corporation through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Key Tronic Corporation currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was $2.16. Our model-based fair value is $4.09, about +89% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Key Tronic Corporation right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($3.05 to $6.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Key Tronic Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
The market capitalisation of Key Tronic Corporation is $23.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Key Tronic Corporation is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Earnings per share at Key Tronic Corporation are $−4.41. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
The net margin of Key Tronic Corporation is −12.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Key Tronic Corporation is −51.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Key Tronic Corporation is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
The operating margin of Key Tronic Corporation is −17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Revenue at Key Tronic Corporation is growing −7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)?
Earnings per share at Key Tronic Corporation are growing −88.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) generate?
The free cash flow of Key Tronic Corporation is −$1.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) carry?
The net debt of Key Tronic Corporation is $126M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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