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Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Kuke Music Holding Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · ISIN US5012292075

KM Kuke Music Holding Limited logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Kuke Music Holding Limited

KUKEY · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0072 · Fairly valued (+0.6%)
!Quality 10/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -94.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$69.40 $0.0060 Fair Value $0.0072 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0060 – $69.40 · fair‑value band $0.0070 – $0.0074 · the $0.0072 price screens below the $0.0072 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Kuke Music Holding Limited provides classical music licensing, subscription, and education services in China. It operates through two segments: Subscription, Licensing and Smart Education Business; and Music Events and Performances, and Other Business.

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Kuke Music Holding Limited provides classical music licensing, subscription, and education services in China. It operates through two segments: Subscription, Licensing and Smart Education Business; and Music Events and Performances, and Other Business. The Subscription, Licensing and Smart Education Business segment distributes commercial copyrights and offers music education solutions. The Music Events and Performances, and Other Business segment provides music festival events and music performance, and promotion and publicity and technical service; and sells musical instruments, including conch smart speakers. It licenses its music content to online music entertainment platforms, such as Tencent Music Entertainment Group and NetEase Cloud Music; digital music service providers, and commercial enterprises, as well as film and TV production companies, airlines, and smart hardware companies. The company serves institutional subscribers, including universities, music conservatories, public libraries, autonomous regions, and municipalities. Kuke Music Holding Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY) currently trades at $0.0072, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0072, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.6%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0070 (bear) to $0.0074 (bull), the price of $0.0072 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 10/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Kuke Music Holding Limited reported revenue of 68.9M CNY in FY2024 versus 163M CNY in FY2020, a compound −19.3%/yr. Reported net income was −64.9M CNY in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap $2.1M · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−2.43 · Net margin −94.2% · Return on equity −219% · Return on assets (EBIT) −82.2% · Operating margin −986% · Revenue (TTM) 68.9M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 99% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 1%, KUKEY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0070 Fair Value $0.0072 Bull $0.0074
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 10/100

Of which business quality 12 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−38.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.9%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
47.1% (2019) → −90.0% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Kuke Music Holding Limited with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 234 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 12 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −94.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −86.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)34 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $69.58 $76.54 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.90 $101.23 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kuke Music Holding Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KUKEY

Frequently asked questions

Is Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0072 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0072, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KUKEY?
Our model-based fair value for Kuke Music Holding Limited is $0.0072 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0072.
What is the quality score of KUKEY?
Kuke Music Holding Limited has a Quality Score of 10/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0072 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0070, optimistic scenario $0.0074. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kuke Music Holding Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0072, about +1% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0072 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0070, optimistic scenario $0.0074. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
Kuke Music Holding Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 68.9M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kuke Music Holding Limited it is $0.0072 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0072. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kuke Music Holding Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, KUKEY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0072, fair value $0.0072, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KUKEY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0072); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0072). For Kuke Music Holding Limited the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kuke Music Holding Limited worth?
The market values Kuke Music Holding Limited at about $2.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0072; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0072 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KUKEY?
Our models span a range for Kuke Music Holding Limited: cautious scenario $0.0070, base $0.0072, optimistic $0.0074 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.0072). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kuke Music Holding Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −218.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 10/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KUKEY from its 52-week high?
Kuke Music Holding Limited trades at $0.0072, about 99% below its 52-week high of $1.39 and 20% above the low of $0.0060 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0072 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kuke Music Holding Limited?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kuke Music Holding Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.0072, calculated fair value $0.0072 (+1%), Quality Score 10/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KUKEY calculated?
We run Kuke Music Holding Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0072, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kuke Music Holding Limited currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0072. Our model-based fair value is $0.0072, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kuke Music Holding Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0070 to $0.0074), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Kuke Music Holding Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
The market capitalisation of Kuke Music Holding Limited is $2.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kuke Music Holding Limited is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
Earnings per share at Kuke Music Holding Limited are $−2.43. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
The net margin of Kuke Music Holding Limited is −94.2% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kuke Music Holding Limited is −219% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kuke Music Holding Limited is −82.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
The operating margin of Kuke Music Holding Limited is −986% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY)?
Revenue at Kuke Music Holding Limited is growing −86.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −38.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY) generate?
The free cash flow of Kuke Music Holding Limited is −46.5M CNY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kuke Music Holding Limited (KUKEY) carry?
The net debt of Kuke Music Holding Limited is 68.1M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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