Kokuyo Co (KUKYF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.29 to $6.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (21 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range $3.53 – $895,642 · fair‑value band $3.29 – $6.49 · the $5.59 price screens above the $4.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Kokuyo Co (KUKYF) currently trades at $5.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.70, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kokuyo Co generated revenue of $368B at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.29 (bear case) to $6.49 (bull case); at $5.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -16%, KUKYF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.65) versus Growth DCF ($2.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kokuyo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, purchases, and sells office furniture products in Japan and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Furniture Business, Business Supply Distribution Business, Stationery Business, and Interior Retail Business.
Full company description
Kokuyo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, purchases, and sells office furniture products in Japan and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Furniture Business, Business Supply Distribution Business, Stationery Business, and Interior Retail Business. It offers office and public furniture, office supplies, stationery, and rear and household goods. The company also engages in wholesale, delivery, and assembly of interior and furniture; notebooks, writing instruments, and art supplies, with the Campus brand; procures and sells interior and lifestyle goods, operating instores and e-commerce stores; work style consulting; proposal and support system for stationery and office supplies; development and sale of creative picture book series and tools for creativity; and document digitization services, as well as spatial design and construction for offices, medical and educational institutions, public offices, and agencies. In addition, it is involved in the transportation and storage of products; sale of paper products; provision of outsourcing services for general affairs and other administrative tasks; furniture and building materials installation; procurement and leasing of office equipment; mail order sales of office supplies; and non-life insurance agency business. The company was formerly known as Kuroda Kokkodo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Kokuyo Co., Ltd. in January 1961. Kokuyo Co., Ltd. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Kita, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kokuyo Co reported revenue of $360B in FY2025 versus $320B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $21.5B in FY2025, compounding +11.9%/yr from FY2021.
KUKYF screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →
Peer Group
Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ricoh Company RICO | ¥15.33 | ¥17.99 | +17% |
| GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 | ¥10.08 | ¥6.90 | -32% |
| Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 | ¥21.45 | ¥30.05 | +40% |
| XGD Inc 300130 | ¥19.90 | ¥15.67 | -21% |
| DOMS Industries Limited DOMS | ₹2,260 | ₹782.96 | -65% |
| Hengbao Co 002104 | ¥9.20 | ¥1.66 | -82% |
| Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 | ¥6.99 | ¥1.75 | -75% |
| Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 | ¥7.30 | ¥3.11 | -57% |
| Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 | ¥6.00 | ¥1.73 | -71% |
| Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 | ¥11.92 | ¥21.12 | +77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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