Kyushu Railway Company (KYHHY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $3.9B
Kyushu Railway Company
KYHHY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $15.58 to $15.33 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from $11.49 (bear) to $19.16 (bull), base $15.33. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
24‑month range $11.23 – $13.00 · fair‑value band $11.49 – $19.16 · the $12.62 price screens below the $15.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Kyushu Railway Company (KYHHY) currently trades at $12.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.33, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kyushu Railway Company generated revenue of $500B at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $431B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.49 (bear case) to $19.16 (bull case); at $12.62, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 21%, KYHHY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($2,512) versus Asset-Based ($1,076). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kyushu Railway Company engages in the railway business in Japan. It operates through five segments: Transportation, Construction, Real Estate and Hotels, Retail and Restaurant, and Business Services. The Transportation segment involved in railway and bus businesses, including shared, highway, and chartered bus business.
Full company description
Kyushu Railway Company engages in the railway business in Japan. It operates through five segments: Transportation, Construction, Real Estate and Hotels, Retail and Restaurant, and Business Services. The Transportation segment involved in railway and bus businesses, including shared, highway, and chartered bus business. The Construction segment offers construction, vehicle equipment and machinery-related operations, electrical work, civil engineering, railways maintenance, and construction consulting services, as well as engages in public and private construction business. The Real Estate and Hotels segment leases station buildings and other real estate; sells condominiums and other properties; and conducts hotel operations, etc. The Retail and Restaurant segment involved in retail, restaurant, and agriculture businesses, as well as operates Meihingura specialist souvenir shops and FamilyMart convenience stores. The Business Services segment sales, maintains, and rents construction machinery, such as diesel engines, generators, etc., as well as involved in wholesaling, cleaning, advertising, system-related, and other businesses. It also provides passenger railway, ferry, travel agency, parking, property management, and non-life and other insurance services; and retail sales of travel goods, food and drink, pharmaceuticals, etc. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kyushu Railway Company reported revenue of $500B in FY2026 versus $330B in FY2022, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was $45.5B in FY2026, compounding +36.1%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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