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Liberty Global Ltd (LBTYK) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.4B

LG Liberty Global Ltd logo Liberty Global Ltd LBTYK · US
Price$10.24
Fair Value$14.28
Upside+39.5%
Quality39/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -109.7% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range $5.15 – $23.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $14.12 to $14.28 (+1.1%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($5.15 to $23.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.72 $8.48 Fair Value $14.28 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.48 – $15.72 · fair‑value band $5.15 – $23.41 · the $10.24 price screens below the $14.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Liberty Global Ltd (LBTYK) currently trades at $10.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.28, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $5.0B. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -48.0%. Net debt stands at $8.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.15 (bear case) to $23.41 (bull case); at $10.24, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 39%, LBTYK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $5.94 $11.84 $17.94 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.94 $10.24 $12.50 61
EV/EBITDA $11.57 $20.70 $29.83 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.94 $11.84 $17.94 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.94 $10.24 $12.50 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $11.57 $20.70 $29.83 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.40 $17.96 $26.81 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($20.70) versus Dividend Discount ($10.24). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.8%
Net margin -110%
Return on equity -48.0%
Free cash flow −$123M FY2025
Operating margin 4.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-16.06
EPS growth (YoY) -67.8%
Net debt $8.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Liberty Global Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband internet, video, fixed-line telephony, and mobile communications services to residential and business customers in Europe.

Full company description

Liberty Global Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband internet, video, fixed-line telephony, and mobile communications services to residential and business customers in Europe. It offers intelligent WiFi and broadband internet services, such as ONE Connect, which enables fast and flexible introductions of new hardware and services, as well as cloud-to-cloud open API integration; Smart Security that provides network security, safe browsing and fraud prevention measures; Smart Home, which provides enhanced entertainment and home automation and security services; and Connect Box, an intelligent WiFi and telephony gateway. The company provides various tiers of digital video programming and audio services, as well as digital video recorders and multimedia home gateway systems; Horizon 5, a cloud-based, multi-screen entertainment platform that combines linear television, including recording and replay features and video-on-demand services; Replay TV, a multimedia gateway service; video-on-demand that provides subscribers with access to a broad library of movies and television series; Horizon Go, an online mobile app; and channels, including general entertainment, sports, movies, series, documentaries, lifestyles, news, adult, children, and ethnic and foreign channels. In addition, it offers postpaid and prepaid mobile services; circuit-switched telephony services; and personal call manager, unified messaging, and multiple lines for additional fees. Further, the company offers business services comprising voice, advanced data, video, wireless, cloud-based services, and mobile and fixed-mobile convergence services to small businesses, and medium and large enterprises, as well as on a wholesale basis to other operators. It operates in Belgium, Ireland, Slovakia, and internationally. Liberty Global Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Liberty Global Ltd reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $10.3B in FY2021, a compound −17.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.1B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.9B
Latest YoY
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+15.8%
Revenue −17.1%/yr
FY21 $10.3B
FY22 $4.0B
FY23 $4.1B
FY24 $4.3B
FY25 $4.9B
Net income
FY21 $13.4B
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 −$4.1B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 −$7.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liberty Global Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LBTYK

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 252 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +40% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -110% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.80× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 30
FUTURE 44 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 60 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 72

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Liberty Global Ltd (LBTYK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.28 versus a price of $10.24, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LBTYK?
Our model-based fair value for Liberty Global Ltd is $14.28 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.24.
What is the quality score of LBTYK?
Liberty Global Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Liberty Global Ltd (LBTYK)?
Liberty Global Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LBTYK?
The net profit margin of Liberty Global Ltd is about -109.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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