Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc (LCTX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc stock $0.75, price $1.04, that is 27.9% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.
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Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc
LCTX · USOur calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3861 – $2.79 · fair‑value band $0.5600 – $0.9300 · the $1.04 price screens above the $0.7500 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.
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Company profile
Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, developing cell replacement therapies to treat serious medical conditions in the United States and internationally.
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The company develops OpRegen, an allogeneic retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy, which is in Phase 2a clinical trial for the treatment of the age-related macular degeneration; and OPC1, an allogeneic oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy that is in Phase 1/2a multicenter clinical trial for the treatment of cervical spinal cord injuries.
It also offers ReSonance (ANP1), an allogeneic auditory neuron progenitor cell transplant, which is in preclinical development for the treatment of sensorineural hearing loss; and PNC1, an allogeneic photoreceptor cell transplant, which is in preclinical development for the treatment of vision loss due to photoreceptor dysfunction or damage.
In addition, the company is developing RND1, a novel hypoimmune induced pluripotent stem cell line for the development of a cell transplant candidate for the potential treatment of an undisclosed indication, as well as engages in the research and development of ILT1, an allogeneic cell transplant for the treatment of Type 1 Diabetes; and LCT-CON, an allogeneic cell transplant, as well as therapeutic products for retinal diseases, neurological diseases, ophthalmology, metabolic, and disorders and oncology.
The company has a collaboration agreement with William Demant Invest for the preclinical development of ReSonance (ANP1). It also has a strategic collaboration with Factor Bioscience Inc. for the development of genetically engineered iPSC line for the company to utilize for differentiation into certain cell transplant product candidates.
The company was formerly known as BioTime, Inc. and changed its name to Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. in August 2019. Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
Stock analysis
Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc (LCTX) currently trades at $1.04, while our estimate is $0.7500, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.
Scenario range: $0.5600 (bear) to $0.9300 (bull), the price of $1.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc reported revenue of $14.6M in FY2025 versus $3.9M in FY2021, a compound +39.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$63.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $272M Micro · P/S ratio 19.0 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1900 · Return on equity −60.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −835% · Revenue (TTM) $13.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −28%, LCTX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
- BuyBrian M CulleyPresident and CEO, Director15,000 shares at $1.63$24,450Mar 12, 2026
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Compare Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 849 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Dividend yield by industry
- PEG screener for stocks with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $916.06 | $1,275 | +39% | vs LCTX |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,468,000 KRW | 1,661,000 KRW | +13% | vs LCTX |
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $547.89 | $601.80 | +10% | vs LCTX |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 3,581 | kr 3,880 | +8% | vs LCTX |
| argenx SE ARGX | $971.55 | $908.40 | −7% | vs LCTX |
| CSL Limited CSL | A$201.68 | A$181.40 | −10% | vs LCTX |
| Moderna, Inc MRNA | $250.83 | $158.70 | −37% | vs LCTX |
| BeOne Medicines AG 6160 | HK$252.20 | HK$152.80 | −39% | vs LCTX |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 203,000 KRW | 74,945 KRW | −63% | vs LCTX |
| Royalty Pharma plc RPRX | $69.45 | $19.01 | −73% | vs LCTX |
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Key figures of Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc
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