Light SA ADR (LGSXY) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $197M · ISIN US53223N1090
Light SA ADR
LGSXY · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $1.42 to $1.46 (+2.8%) since Jul 31, 2026. Share price −4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 20% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.44). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The models converge in a tight band ($1.44 to $1.62), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0150 – $6.23 · fair‑value band $1.44 – $1.62 · the $1.17 price screens below the $1.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Light SA ADR (LGSXY) currently trades at $1.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Light SA ADR generated revenue of $15.3B at a net margin of 17.1%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.5%. Net debt stands at $10.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.44 (bear case) to $1.62 (bull case); at $1.17, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 238% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 25%, LGSXY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.25 USD per share, which is 16.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($7.61) versus Dividend Discount ($1.84). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Light S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electric power in Brazil. The company distributes electricity in the state of Rio de Janeiro.
Full company description
Light S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electric power in Brazil. The company distributes electricity in the state of Rio de Janeiro. It engages in the research, planning, building, operation, and exploration of generation and transmission systems; purchase, sale, import, and export of electric and thermal power, and gas and industrial utilities; provision of consulting services in the energy sector; lease of real estate and personal properties; acquisition and sale of goods related to the studies and projects; implementation, operation, and maintenance of construction works and facilities; and hydropower generation activities. In addition, the company provides services to low voltage clients, including the assembly, renovation, and maintenance of facilities. Further, it offers technology solutions and systems for the operating management of public service concessionaires, including electricity, gas, water, sewage and other utility companies; and builds, installs, operates, and explores electric power plants. The company primarily serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Light SA ADR reported revenue of R$14.3B in FY2025 versus R$14.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$213M in FY2025, compounding −14.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.0 % · buybacks/dilution −6.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | -77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | -12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $32.49 | $70.40 | +117% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | -5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | -32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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