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Liberty Media Corporation (LLYVB) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $9.0B

What is Liberty Media Corporation really worth?

LM Liberty Media Corporation logo Liberty Media Corporation LLYVB · US
Price from Aug 25, 2026$102.38
Fair Value$99.17
Upside−3.1%
Quality58/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $99.17.

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Strengths

generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −98.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -88.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $99.17 to $396.68
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $99.17 – $396.68

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from $2.73 to $99.17 (+3,532.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +13.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($99.17 to $396.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$110.01 $28.38 Fair Value $99.17 Aug 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range $28.38 – $110.01 · fair‑value band $99.17 – $396.68 · the $102.38 price screens above the $99.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Liberty Media Corporation (LLYVB) currently trades at $102.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $99.17, implying the stock looks roughly 3.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $139.05 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the $102.38 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $23.94, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Liberty Media Corporation generated revenue of $399M at a net margin of −88.2%. Revenue grew 35.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $99.17 (bear case) to $396.68 (bull case); at $102.38, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −3%, LLYVB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $102.94 $136.40 $196.44 71
Growth DCF $106.81 $139.05 $192.44 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $66.01 $81.68 $102.48 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $102.94 $136.40 $196.44 71
5Y Revenue Exit $52.79 $58.80 $67.29 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $66.01 $81.68 $102.48 67
10Y Revenue Exit $72.28 $78.52 $84.00 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $80.34 $92.35 $104.18 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $46.52 $58.21 $69.89 64
EV/Revenue $20.20 $23.94 $27.68 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $42.19 $56.53 $84.38 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $106.81 $139.05 $192.44 69

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($139.05) versus Multiples ($23.94). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 22.7 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−3.83
Net margin −14.9% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% avg 3y
Operating margin −26.2% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $399M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $908M FY2025
Net debt $4.0B FY2025 · ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors.

Full company description

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company. It promotes live music events; manages artists and athletes, and engages in music venue operations. The company also sells tickets for events and third-party clients. In addition, it offers advertising services; and creates and maintains relationships with sponsors. Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Liberty Media Corporation reported revenue of $382M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −$57.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 11/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$382M
Latest YoY
−98.4%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Revenue
FY23 $0
FY24 $23.2B
FY25 $382M
Net income
FY23 −$142M
FY24 $896M
FY25 −$57.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liberty Media Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LLYVB

Peer Group

Entertainment · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Return on assets −2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −88% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −26% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 22.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE29 · sector 7
FUTURE100 · sector 10
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $81.72 $49.35 −40%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.50 $80.62 −22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 −67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $182.02 $59.97 −67%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.73 €14.78 +0%
TKO Group TKO $195.14 $47.75 −76%
Formula One Group FWONK $102.02 $35.21 −65%
Fox Corporation FOXA $68.42 $206.81 +202%
News Corporation NWS A$46.55 A$20.41 −56%
Warner Music Group WMG $24.79 $12.10 −51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Liberty Media Corporation (LLYVB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $99.17 versus the last price from Aug 25, 2026 of $102.38, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LLYVB?
Our model-based fair value for Liberty Media Corporation is $99.17 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 25, 2026): $102.38.
What is the quality score of LLYVB?
Liberty Media Corporation has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Liberty Media Corporation (LLYVB)?
Liberty Media Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $399M (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LLYVB?
The net profit margin of Liberty Media Corporation is about −88.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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