Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lopez Holdings Corp stock PHP 13.20, price PHP 4.40, upside +200.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.39 PHP – 6.48 PHP · fair‑value band 13.20 PHP – 13.54 PHP · the 4.40 PHP price screens below the 13.20 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ) currently trades at 4.40 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.20 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 35.58 PHP per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the 4.40 PHP price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.64 PHP, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 13.20 PHP (bear) to 13.54 PHP (bull), the price of 4.40 PHP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lopez Holdings Corp reported revenue of 167B PHP in FY2024 versus 107B PHP in FY2020, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3B PHP in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 19.9B PHP (≈ $315M) Small · P/E ratio 7.9 · P/S ratio 0.30 · EPS (TTM) 0.3028 PHP · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 200%, LPZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear13.20 PHPFair Value 13.20 PHPBull13.54 PHP
Price 4.40 PHP · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3028 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.22/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +6.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 18%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2024 sits 124% above its own trend.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Utilities & IPPs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5331 stocks
Beats the sector median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.46× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.20 PHP versus a price of 4.40 PHP, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LPZ?
Our model-based fair value for Lopez Holdings Corp is 13.20 PHP (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.40 PHP.
What is the quality score of LPZ?
Lopez Holdings Corp has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.20 PHP (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.20 PHP, optimistic scenario 13.54 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lopez Holdings Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.20 PHP, about +200% upside versus a price of 4.40 PHP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 13.20 PHP, optimistic scenario 13.54 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Lopez Holdings Corp pay a dividend?
Lopez Holdings Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 4.20% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
Lopez Holdings Corp has a dividend yield of 4.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lopez Holdings Corp it is 13.20 PHP per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 4.40 PHP. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Lopez Holdings Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, LPZ trades below its calculated fair value: price 4.40 PHP, fair value 13.20 PHP, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LPZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.40 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.20 PHP). For Lopez Holdings Corp the two are 8.80 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lopez Holdings Corp worth?
The market values Lopez Holdings Corp at about 19.9B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 4.40 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 13.20 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LPZ?
Our models span a range for Lopez Holdings Corp: cautious scenario 13.20 PHP, base 13.20 PHP, optimistic 13.54 PHP per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 4.40 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LPZ?
Lopez Holdings Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.9 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.20 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lopez Holdings Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): debt of 1.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LPZ from its 52-week high?
Lopez Holdings Corp trades at 4.40 PHP, about 32% below its 52-week high of 6.48 PHP and 27% above the low of 3.47 PHP (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.20 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lopez Holdings Corp?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value MER, AEV, ACEN, SGP, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lopez Holdings Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 4.40 PHP, calculated fair value 13.20 PHP (+200%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LPZ calculated?
We run Lopez Holdings Corp through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 13.20 PHP builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Lopez Holdings Corp currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 4.40 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 13.20 PHP, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lopez Holdings Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.20 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (13.20 PHP to 13.54 PHP), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Lopez Holdings Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
The market capitalisation of Lopez Holdings Corp is 19.9B PHP (≈ $315M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lopez Holdings Corp is 0.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
Earnings per share at Lopez Holdings Corp are 0.3028 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
The dividend yield of Lopez Holdings Corp is 4.2% (payout 61.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
The net margin of Lopez Holdings Corp is 3.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lopez Holdings Corp (LPZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lopez Holdings Corp is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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