Lerøy Seafood Group (LSG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · NO · Market cap 24.3B NOK
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +5.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 16.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 31.37 – kr 69.86 · fair‑value band kr 9.68 – kr 16.13 · the kr 41.58 price screens above the kr 12.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Lerøy Seafood Group (LSG) currently trades at kr 41.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 12.91, implying the stock looks roughly 69.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lerøy Seafood Group generated revenue of 34.5B NOK at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 6.9B NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 9.68 (bear case) to kr 16.13 (bull case); at kr 41.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -69%, LSG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 40.77) versus Economic Profit (kr 5.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA produces, processes, markets, sells, and distributes seafood products. The company operates in three segments: Wildcatch; Farming; and Value-Added Processing, Sales, and Distribution. It offers salmon and trout, whole fish, fillets, portions, smoked, graved, block, cured, ready-to-eat, and ready-to-cook products.
Full company description
Lerøy Seafood Group ASA produces, processes, markets, sells, and distributes seafood products. The company operates in three segments: Wildcatch; Farming; and Value-Added Processing, Sales, and Distribution. It offers salmon and trout, whole fish, fillets, portions, smoked, graved, block, cured, ready-to-eat, and ready-to-cook products. The company also catches and processes various whitefish, including fresh and frozen options, as well as products comprising shrimp, crab, and mussels. In addition, it provides seaweed products and value-added products, such as breaded fish, burgers, patties, and other ready-to-cook or ready-to-eat seafood products; and crustaceans and molluscs, seaweed, and fresh and frozen consequence products for industrial processing. The company markets its products primarily under the Norway Seafoods, Arctic Supreme, Fjord Trout, Aurora Salmon, Fossen, Sea Eagle, Lerøy, and M"r brands to supermarkets, restaurants, canteens, hotels, wholesalers, retailers, food service companies, and industrial customers. It operates in the European Union, Norway, Asia, rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Bergen, Norway. Lerøy Seafood Group ASA operates as a subsidiary of Austevoll Seafood ASA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lerøy Seafood Group reported revenue of kr 34.4B in FY2025 versus kr 23.1B in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 366M in FY2025, compounding −38.9%/yr from FY2021.
LSG screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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