PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk (MABA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 768B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 72.82 IDR to 12.20 IDR (−83.2%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.20 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (9.10 IDR to 18.20 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 9.10 IDR – 18.20 IDR · the 50.00 IDR price screens above the 12.20 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk (MABA) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.20 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 75.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 45.4B IDR. Revenue declined 65.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -63.7%. Net debt stands at 932B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 9.10 IDR (bear case) to 18.20 IDR (bull case); at 50.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at -76%, MABA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk operates hotels and restaurants in Indonesia. The company operates Ammi Cepu hotel with 62 rooms; Allium Cepu hotel with 54 rooms; Allium Tangerang hotel with 157 rooms; Rantang Ibu restaurant; and coffee shops under the Kopi Bagoos and 8AM names.
Full company description
PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk operates hotels and restaurants in Indonesia. The company operates Ammi Cepu hotel with 62 rooms; Allium Cepu hotel with 54 rooms; Allium Tangerang hotel with 157 rooms; Rantang Ibu restaurant; and coffee shops under the Kopi Bagoos and 8AM names. It engages in the building, construction, property development, and trading businesses, as well as service, industry, land transportation, farming, printing, workshop, and mining activities. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in South Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Saligading Bersama.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2015 – FY2019 · reported fiscal years
PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk reported revenue of 45.4B IDR in FY2019 versus 52.9B IDR in FY2015, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −487B IDR in FY2019.
MABA screens 76% overvalued. Compare with JFC →
Peer Group
Consumer Discretionary · 3552 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Hotels & Entertainment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JFC JFC | 145.80 PHP | 210.34 PHP | +44% |
| BLOOM BLOOM | 1.90 PHP | 1.70 PHP | -11% |
| Ananti Inc 025980 | 3,600 KRW | 3,166 KRW | -12% |
| PIZZA PIZZA | 6.00 PHP | 12.05 PHP | +101% |
| PT Hotel Mandarine Regency Tbk HOME | 50.00 IDR | 85.45 IDR | +71% |
| Modetour Network Inc 080160 | 8,290 KRW | 14,293 KRW | +72% |
| MAXS MAXS | 2.12 PHP | 2.73 PHP | +29% |
| HSIL HSIL | ₹364.75 | ₹212.72 | -42% |
| WEB WEB | 14.16 PHP | 4.00 PHP | -72% |
| Very Good Tour Co 094850 | 4,225 KRW | 13,304 KRW | +215% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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