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Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT IDR 12, price IDR 50, upside -75.7%, quality 13 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · ID · ISIN ID1000140007

MA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT

MABA · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 12.14 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−75.7%)
!Quality 13/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +15.1 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/7)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

50.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 12.14 IDR Jan 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 50.00 IDR · fair‑value band 9.06 IDR – 18.12 IDR · the 50.00 IDR price screens above the 12.14 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk operates hotels and restaurants in Indonesia. The company operates Ammi Cepu hotel with 62 rooms; Allium Cepu hotel with 54 rooms; Allium Tangerang hotel with 157 rooms; Rantang Ibu restaurant; and coffee shops under the Kopi Bagoos and 8AM names.

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PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk operates hotels and restaurants in Indonesia. The company operates Ammi Cepu hotel with 62 rooms; Allium Cepu hotel with 54 rooms; Allium Tangerang hotel with 157 rooms; Rantang Ibu restaurant; and coffee shops under the Kopi Bagoos and 8AM names. It engages in the building, construction, property development, and trading businesses, as well as service, industry, land transportation, farming, printing, workshop, and mining activities. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in South Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Saligading Bersama.

Stock analysis

Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.14 IDR, 75.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 9.06 IDR (bear) to 18.12 IDR (bull), the price of 50.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT reported revenue of 45.4B IDR in FY2019 versus 52.9B IDR in FY2015, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −487B IDR in FY2019.

Key figures

Market cap 768B IDR (≈ $42.9M) · P/S ratio 16.9 · EPS (TTM) −17.04 IDR · Return on equity −63.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% · Operating margin −101% · Revenue (TTM) 45.4B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) −65.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −76%, MABA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 9.06 IDR Fair Value 12.14 IDR Bull 18.12 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 9.10 IDR 12.20 IDR 18.20 IDR 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.10 IDR 12.20 IDR 18.20 IDR 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 13/100

Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−62.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−94.7% (2014) → −100.9% (2019)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2019 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MABA screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with JFC →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3564 stocks

Beats the sector median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 16 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −100.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −65.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.25× · Highest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)38 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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MAXS MAXS 1.96 PHP 1.83 PHP −7%
WEB WEB 14.28 PHP 3.62 PHP −75%
LOTO LOTO 1.55 PHP 1.15 PHP −26%
SKN SKN 0.5050 PLN 0.7400 PLN +47%

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Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT · Fair Value
12.14 IDR −76%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MABA

Frequently asked questions

Is Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.14 IDR versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 50.00 IDR, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MABA?
Our model-based fair value for Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is 12.14 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): 50.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MABA?
Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.14 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.06 IDR, optimistic scenario 18.12 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.14 IDR, about −76% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 50.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.06 IDR, optimistic scenario 18.12 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 45.4B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT it is 12.14 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 50.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MABA trades above its calculated fair value: price 50.00 IDR, fair value 12.14 IDR, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MABA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (50.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12.14 IDR). For Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT the two are 37.86 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT worth?
The market values Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT at about 768B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 50.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 12.14 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MABA?
Our models span a range for Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT: cautious scenario 9.06 IDR, base 12.14 IDR, optimistic 18.12 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 50.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −63.7%, debt of 1.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 13/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MABA from its 52-week high?
Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT trades at 50.00 IDR, at its 52-week high of 50.00 IDR and at the low of 50.00 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 12.14 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value JFC, BLOOM, Ananti Inc, PIZZA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 50.00 IDR, calculated fair value 12.14 IDR (−76%), Quality Score 13/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MABA calculated?
We run Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 12.14 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at 50.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 12.14 IDR, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.12 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (9.06 IDR to 18.12 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
The market capitalisation of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is 768B IDR (≈ $42.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is 16.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
Earnings per share at Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT are −17.04 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is −63.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is −1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
The operating margin of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is −101% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA)?
Revenue at Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is growing −65.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA) generate?
The free cash flow of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is −197B IDR (fiscal year 2019). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT (MABA) carry?
The net debt of Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk PT is 932B IDR (fiscal year 2019). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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