WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of WEB Travel Group Ltd A$4.07, price A$3.53, upside +15.3%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch WEB Travel Group Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.23 – A$9.25 · fair‑value band A$2.91 – A$5.29 · the A$3.53 price screens below the A$4.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow WEB Travel Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether WEB Travel Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Web Travel Group Limited provides online travel booking services in Australia, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, Spain, and internationally.
Show more
Web Travel Group Limited provides online travel booking services in Australia, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, Spain, and internationally. It offers WebBeds, an online marketplace for the travel trade that sources hotel inventory from hotel and travel suppliers, connects, and aggregates that content in their platform and distributes it to a network of travel buyers who sell to the travelling public. The company was formerly known as Webjet Limited and changed its name to Web Travel Group Limited in September 2024. Web Travel Group Limited was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB) currently trades at A$3.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.07, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$5.62 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$3.53 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$1.08, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: A$2.91 (bear) to A$5.29 (bull), the price of A$3.53 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
WEB Travel Group Ltd reported revenue of A$394M in FY2026 versus A$138M in FY2022, a compound +30.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$35.5M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$1.3B (≈ $910M) · P/E ratio 35.3 · P/S ratio 3.18 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1000 · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 22.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 15%, WEB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$2.91Fair Value A$4.07Bull A$5.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0236 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+10.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−229% → 25%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.9% a year for the price and +7.5% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 84 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)35.3× · Pricier than median
P/B1.56× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WEB Travel Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WEB
Frequently asked questions
Is WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$4.07 versus a price of A$3.53, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WEB?
Our model-based fair value for WEB Travel Group Ltd is A$4.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$3.53.
What is the quality score of WEB?
WEB Travel Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$4.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.91, optimistic scenario A$5.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WEB Travel Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$4.07, about +15% upside versus a price of A$3.53 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$2.91, optimistic scenario A$5.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
WEB Travel Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$394M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, WEB Travel Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +50.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WEB use?
Our models discount WEB Travel Group Ltd at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.05, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For WEB Travel Group Ltd that is +5.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at WEB Travel Group Ltd grew +50.3 % a year. The price currently implies +5.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into WEB Travel Group Ltd (+5.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.37 %: that much free cash flow WEB Travel Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WEB Travel Group Ltd it is A$4.07 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$3.53. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WEB Travel Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, WEB trades below its calculated fair value: price A$3.53, fair value A$4.07, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WEB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$3.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$4.07). For WEB Travel Group Ltd the two are A$0.5400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WEB Travel Group Ltd worth?
The market values WEB Travel Group Ltd at about A$1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$3.53; our models calculate a fair value of A$4.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WEB?
Our models span a range for WEB Travel Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.91, base A$4.07, optimistic A$5.29 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$3.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WEB?
WEB Travel Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$4.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.4, P/B 1.6, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
What is the PEG ratio of WEB?
The PEG ratio of WEB Travel Group Ltd is 2.42 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
Balance-sheet figures for WEB Travel Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.1%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WEB from its 52-week high?
WEB Travel Group Ltd trades at A$3.53, about 30% below its 52-week high of A$5.03 and 58% above the low of A$2.23 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$4.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WEB Travel Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WEB Travel Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$3.53, calculated fair value A$4.07 (+15%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WEB calculated?
We run WEB Travel Group Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$4.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. WEB Travel Group Ltd currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$3.53. Our model-based fair value is A$4.07, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with WEB Travel Group Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (A$2.91 to A$5.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB) come from?
Earnings per share at WEB Travel Group Ltd grew −13.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −7.6 %, EBIT margin +4.8 %, tax rate −1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of WEB Travel Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
The market capitalisation of WEB Travel Group Ltd is A$1.3B (≈ $910M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of WEB Travel Group Ltd is 3.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
Earnings per share at WEB Travel Group Ltd are A$0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
The net margin of WEB Travel Group Ltd is 9.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WEB Travel Group Ltd is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WEB Travel Group Ltd is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
The operating margin of WEB Travel Group Ltd is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
Revenue at WEB Travel Group Ltd is growing +19.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB)?
Earnings per share at WEB Travel Group Ltd are growing −86.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does WEB Travel Group Ltd (WEB) hold?
WEB Travel Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$193M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch WEB Travel Group Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts WEB Travel Group Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
