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Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme (MALT) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · FR · Market cap €417M

MF Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme MALT · PA
Price€830.00
Fair Value€427.50
Upside-48.5%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 23.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.47% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range €359.68 – €534.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price −0.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€534.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€980.00 €462.90 Fair Value €427.50 Apr 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €462.90 – €980.00 · fair‑value band €359.68 – €534.38 · the €830.00 price screens above the €427.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme (MALT) currently trades at €830.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €427.50, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme generated revenue of €122M at a net margin of 23.1%. Revenue declined 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €78.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €359.68 (bear case) to €534.38 (bull case); at €830.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at -48%, MALT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €390.09 €453.97 €533.02 80
Residual Income €572.73 €632.82 €922.31 76
Rev-Margin DCF €317.37 €373.56 €435.98 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €385.25 €453.87 €542.87 38
Owner Earnings €789.49 €982.39 €1,233 31
5Y Revenue Exit €317.37 €368.97 €432.36 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €357.05 €437.89 €529.11 41
5Y P/E Exit €845.02 €1,286 €1,734 38
10Y Revenue Exit €342.15 €389.91 €443.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €367.28 €431.96 €506.06 37
10Y P/E Exit €643.70 €949.03 €1,282 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €507.18 €1,021 €1,284 54
EPV €230.76 €240.12 €247.93 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €30.29 €41.09 €50.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage €30.29 €40.38 €50.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1,175 €1,566 €1,958 63
P/S Multiple €320.63 €427.50 €534.38 58
P/B Multiple €950.96 €1,268 €1,585 55
EV/EBIT €321.30 €374.36 €427.43 53
EV/EBITDA €363.02 €430.00 €496.97 54
EV/Revenue €275.72 €324.42 €373.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €340.03 €455.64 €680.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €390.09 €453.97 €533.02 80
Rev-Margin DCF €317.37 €373.56 €435.98 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €572.73 €632.82 €922.31 76
ROIC Compounder €230.76 €240.12 €247.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €852.76 €1,218 €1,584 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€1,218) versus Dividend Discount (€40.38). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €122M
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.5%
Net margin 23.1%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow €12.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.3
More key figures
Operating margin 0.8%
EPS (TTM) €75.04
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -48.1%
Net cash €78.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme engages in the production and sale of malt primarily for brewers in France and internationally. It trades in barley. The company is headquartered in Nogent-sur-Seine, France. Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme is a subsidiary of Malteries Soufflet SAS.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme reported revenue of €133M in FY2025 versus €88.8M in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was €37.0M in FY2025, compounding +20.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€133M
Latest YoY
−8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+2.3%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 €88.8M
FY22 €102M
FY23 €132M
FY24 €145M
FY25 €133M
Net income +20.7%/yr
FY21 €17.4M
FY22 €15.3M
FY23 €27.2M
FY24 €44.6M
FY25 €37.0M

MALT screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Anheuser-Busch InBev SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MALT

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.43× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 37.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 54.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 3
PAST 34 · sector 36
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 9 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI €73.62 €41.60 -43%
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 6,060 ARS -57%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD 222.91 MXN 201.74 MXN -9%
Heineken N.V HEIA €77.24 €65.06 -16%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $135.72 $177.43 +31%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,125 kr 607.30 -46%
Heineken Holding HEIO €71.20 €72.67 +2%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥53.60 ¥63.65 +19%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.58 HK$6.05 -8%
Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA C$63.10 C$74.42 +18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme (MALT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €427.50 versus a price of €830.00, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MALT?
Our model-based fair value for Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme is €427.50 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €830.00.
What is the quality score of MALT?
Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme (MALT)?
Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €122M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MALT?
The net profit margin of Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme is about 23.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme pay a dividend?
Malteries Franco-Belges Société Anonyme currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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