Maze Therapeutics, Inc (MAZE) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.4B
Maze Therapeutics, Inc
MAZE · US
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −7.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.67 to $6.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range $7.57 – $51.84 · fair‑value band $3.67 – $6.95 · the $27.67 price screens above the $5.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Maze Therapeutics, Inc (MAZE) currently trades at $27.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.56, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $20.0M. It earns a return on equity of -38.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $166M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.67 (bear case) to $6.95 (bull case); at $27.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 181% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -80%, MAZE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Maze Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small molecule precision medicines for the treatment of kidney and metabolic diseases in the United States.
Full company description
Maze Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small molecule precision medicines for the treatment of kidney and metabolic diseases in the United States. Its lead programs include MZE829, an oral small molecule inhibitor of apolipoprotein L1, or APOL1, which is in phase II clinical trial for the treatment of patients with APOL1 kidney disease; and MZE782, an oral small molecule inhibitor that is in phase II ready clinical trial for the treatment of phenylketonuria and chronic kidney disease. The company also develops MZE001, an investigational oral small molecule inhibitor of muscle-specific glycogen synthase clinical program for the treatment of Pompe disease. It has a license agreement with Trace Neuroscience, Inc. to discovery research program targets UNC13A; the Shionogi & Co., Ltd to research, develop, manufacture, and commercialize MZE001; and Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. to discover research program that targets ATXN2. The company was formerly known as Modulus Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Maze Therapeutics, Inc. in September 2018. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in South San Francisco, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Maze Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$131M in FY2025.
MAZE screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 600 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,037 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 317,500 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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