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MiMedx Group (MDXG) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $547M

MG MiMedx Group logo MiMedx Group MDXG · US
Price$4.34
Fair Value$7.18
Upside+65.4%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range $5.38 – $8.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 65% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.83 $2.63 Fair Value $7.18 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.63 – $15.83 · fair‑value band $5.38 – $8.97 · the $4.34 price screens below the $7.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

MiMedx Group (MDXG) currently trades at $4.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.18, implying the stock looks roughly 65.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MiMedx Group generated revenue of $389M at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue declined 33.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $144M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.38 (bear case) to $8.97 (bull case); at $4.34, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 65%, MDXG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.87 $11.37 $18.95 80
Residual Income $1.87 $2.64 $10.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.72 $9.72 $15.61 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.17 $10.74 $19.90 38
Owner Earnings $6.28 $11.77 $21.85 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.72 $9.35 $15.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.60 $11.26 $19.25 41
5Y P/E Exit $6.49 $11.69 $18.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.02 $10.22 $15.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.72 $11.70 $20.43 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.65 $11.52 $19.55 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.22 $15.12 $21.19 54
Lynch FV $4.44 $6.34 $8.25 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.44 $6.34 $8.25 46
EPV $3.49 $3.82 $4.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0500 $0.0900 $0.1300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0500 $0.0900 $0.1000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.38 $7.18 $8.97 63
P/S Multiple $4.16 $5.54 $6.93 58
P/B Multiple $4.16 $5.54 $6.93 55
EV/EBIT $6.47 $8.30 $10.12 53
EV/EBITDA $6.56 $8.41 $10.26 54
EV/Revenue $4.91 $6.58 $8.25 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8600 $1.15 $1.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.87 $11.37 $18.95 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.72 $9.72 $15.61 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.87 $2.64 $10.51 76
ROIC Compounder $3.87 $4.73 $5.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.25 $8.93 $11.61 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($11.26) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $389M
Revenue growth (YoY) -33.1%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow $73.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.4
More key figures
Operating margin -27.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.2000
EPS growth (YoY) +99.5%
Net cash $144M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MiMedx Group, Inc. develops and distributes placental tissue allografts for various sectors of healthcare. The company processes the human placental tissues membrane, and umbilical cord and the placental disc utilizing its patented and proprietary PURION process to produce allografts that retains the tissue's inherent biological properties and regulatory …

Full company description

MiMedx Group, Inc. develops and distributes placental tissue allografts for various sectors of healthcare. The company processes the human placental tissues membrane, and umbilical cord and the placental disc utilizing its patented and proprietary PURION process to produce allografts that retains the tissue's inherent biological properties and regulatory proteins, including cytokines, chemokines, and growth factors. Its patented and proprietary processing method employs aseptic processing techniques in addition to terminal sterilization. The company's wound care products include EPIFIX, EPICORD, EPIXPRESS, CHORIOFIX, EMERGE, CELERA, REGENKIT WOUND GEL, and EPIEFFECT sheets for use as protective barriers that enables a healthcare provider to select an appropriate size graft based on the size of the wound to reduce product waste. Its surgical and other product offerings consist of AMNIOFIX, AMNIOBURN, AMNIOCORD, AXIOFILL, HELIOGEN, and AMNIOEFFECT for applications in a variety of applications and surgical settings, including lower extremity repair, plastic surgery, vascular surgery, and various orthopedic repairs and reconstructions. The company's products are used in the areas of wound care, burn, and surgical fields in healthcare. It sells its products through direct sales force and independent sales agents, as well as to individual customers and independent distributors in the United States. The company has a strategic alliance with Vaporox, Inc. for the promotion of their wound care offerings. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Marietta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MiMedx Group reported revenue of $419M in FY2025 versus $242M in FY2021, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was $48.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$419M
Latest YoY
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+51.9%
Revenue +14.7%/yr
FY21 $242M
FY22 $268M
FY23 $321M
FY24 $349M
FY25 $419M
Net income
FY21 −$12.3M
FY22 −$30.2M
FY23 $67.4M
FY24 $42.4M
FY25 $48.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MiMedx Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDXG

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +65% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -27% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -33% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 55 · sector 0
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MiMedx Group (MDXG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.18 versus a price of $4.34, about +65% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MDXG?
Our model-based fair value for MiMedx Group is $7.18 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.34.
What is the quality score of MDXG?
MiMedx Group has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MiMedx Group (MDXG)?
MiMedx Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $389M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MDXG?
The net profit margin of MiMedx Group is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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