Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Melbana Energy Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Melbana Energy Limited engages in the exploration of oil and gas in Cuba and Australia. The company was formerly known as MEO Australia Limited and changed its name to Melbana Energy Limited in November 2016. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF) currently trades at $0.0243, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0208, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Melbana Energy Limited reported revenue of $10.4M in FY2022 versus $331K in FY2015, a compound +63.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $91.7M · P/S ratio 10.9 · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.2% · Revenue (TTM) $8.4M · Revenue growth (YoY) +162% · EPS growth (YoY) −97.3% · Free cash flow −$38.3M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 1,057% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −14%, MEOAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+842.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+203.1%
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.1%
’07
’08
’09
’15
’19
’21
’22
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,211.7% (2015) → −27.6% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 288 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−14.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)60.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth162.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Melbana Energy Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MEOAF
Frequently asked questions
Is Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0208 versus a price of $0.0243, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MEOAF?
Our model-based fair value for Melbana Energy Limited is $0.0208 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0243.
What is the quality score of MEOAF?
Melbana Energy Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0208 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Melbana Energy Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0208, about −14% upside versus a price of $0.0243 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
Melbana Energy Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Melbana Energy Limited it is $0.0208 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0243. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Melbana Energy Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, MEOAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0243, fair value $0.0208, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MEOAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0243); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0208). For Melbana Energy Limited the two are $0.0035 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Melbana Energy Limited worth?
The market values Melbana Energy Limited at about $91.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0243; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0208 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Melbana Energy Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MEOAF from its 52-week high?
Melbana Energy Limited trades at $0.0243, about 47% below its 52-week high of $0.0460 and 1,057% above the low of $0.0021 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0208 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Melbana Energy Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Melbana Energy Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.0243, calculated fair value $0.0208 (−14%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MEOAF calculated?
We run Melbana Energy Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0208, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Melbana Energy Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.0243. Our model-based fair value is $0.0208, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Melbana Energy Limited right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Melbana Energy Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
The market capitalisation of Melbana Energy Limited is $91.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Melbana Energy Limited is 10.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the return on equity of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Melbana Energy Limited is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Melbana Energy Limited is −6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
Revenue at Melbana Energy Limited is growing +162% versus a year earlier (3y avg +203%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF)?
Earnings per share at Melbana Energy Limited are growing −97.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF) generate?
The free cash flow of Melbana Energy Limited is −$38.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Melbana Energy Limited (MEOAF) hold?
Melbana Energy Limited holds more cash than debt, $3.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026