PT Merry Riana Edukasi Tbk (MERI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 107B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 108.44 IDR to 84.89 IDR (−21.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +17.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (106.11 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (13 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range 91.00 IDR – 565.00 IDR · fair‑value band 63.67 IDR – 106.11 IDR · the 121.00 IDR price screens above the 84.89 IDR fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
PT Merry Riana Edukasi Tbk (MERI) currently trades at 121.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 84.89 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Merry Riana Edukasi Tbk generated revenue of 38.1B IDR at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 63.67 IDR (bear case) to 106.11 IDR (bull case); at 121.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -30%, MERI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (113.83 IDR) versus Asset-Based (28.22 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Merry Riana Edukasi Tbk operates educational institution and self-development centre for Kids and Teens in Indonesia. The company offers training programs, such as Merry Riana Learning Center, Merry Riana Events, Merry Riana Digital Learning, and seminar/workshop training programs.
Full company description
PT Merry Riana Edukasi Tbk operates educational institution and self-development centre for Kids and Teens in Indonesia. The company offers training programs, such as Merry Riana Learning Center, Merry Riana Events, Merry Riana Digital Learning, and seminar/workshop training programs. It also provides regular, event-based, and online training programs, as well as offers educational services. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia. PT Merry Riana Edukasi Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Merry Riana Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Merry Riana Edukasi Tbk reported revenue of 36.4B IDR in FY2025 versus 27.5B IDR in FY2023, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was 4.4B IDR in FY2025, compounding −28.9%/yr from FY2023.
MERI screens 30% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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