MAAS Group (MGH) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$2.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$3.62 to A$3.39 (−6.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$4.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (A$2.08 to A$4.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.13 – A$5.80 · fair‑value band A$2.08 – A$4.23 · the A$5.50 price screens above the A$3.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
MAAS Group (MGH) currently trades at A$5.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.39, implying the stock looks roughly 38.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MAAS Group generated revenue of A$1.2B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 34.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at A$698M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.08 (bear case) to A$4.23 (bull case); at A$5.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -38%, MGH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$9.12) versus Economic Profit (A$0.4300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MAAS Group Holdings Limited, together with subsidiaries, engages in the provision of construction materials to the civil infrastructure, renewable energy, building and construction, and mining sectors. It operates through Construction Materials, Civil Construction and Hire, Residential Real Estate, Commercial Real Estate, and Manufacturing segments.
Full company description
MAAS Group Holdings Limited, together with subsidiaries, engages in the provision of construction materials to the civil infrastructure, renewable energy, building and construction, and mining sectors. It operates through Construction Materials, Civil Construction and Hire, Residential Real Estate, Commercial Real Estate, and Manufacturing segments. The Construction Materials segment supplies quarry materials, aggregates, and pre-mix concrete; offers mobile crushing and screening services for quarries, civil works, and mining; provides geotechnical services, including geological engineering, drilling, and testing; transport and logistics services; asphalt services; and quarry excavation services. The Civil Construction and Hire segment engages in the construction of civil infrastructure, roads, dams, renewables, and mining infrastructure, as well as provides electrical infrastructure, transmission and distribution, communications, and specialised services. The Residential Real Estate segment develops, invests, builds, and sells residential land and housing properties. The Commercial Real Estate segment builds and constructs commercial and industrial properties; supplies building products; and invests in commercial real estate properties. The Manufacturing segment manufactures, sells, and distributes underground construction and mining equipment and parts. It markets its products in Australia, Vietnam, Indonesia, Mongolia, Papua New Guinea, South Africa, United Kingdom, United States of America, and New Zealand. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Dubbo, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
MAAS Group reported revenue of A$1.0B in FY2024 versus A$273M in FY2020, a compound +39.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$72.0M in FY2024, compounding +20.1%/yr from FY2020.
MGH screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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