Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 $2.61, price $9.24, upside -71.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
4‑month range $9.20 – $12.10 · fair‑value band $1.93 – $3.27 · the $9.24 price screens above the $2.61 fair value. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Maiden Holdings, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance solutions to regional and specialty insurers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diversified Reinsurance and AmTrust Reinsurance.
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Maiden Holdings, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides reinsurance solutions to regional and specialty insurers in the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diversified Reinsurance and AmTrust Reinsurance. The Diversified Reinsurance segment offers property and casualty reinsurance, including the writing of treaties on a quota share or excess of loss basis; and facultative risks, which are marketed through third-party intermediaries and on a direct basis. The AmTrust Reinsurance segment provides small commercial business insurance, including workers' compensation, commercial package, and other property and casualty insurance products; and specialty risk and extended warranty coverage for consumer and commercial goods, as well as custom designed coverages, such as accidental damage plans and payment protection plans related to the sale of consumer and commercial goods. This segment also offers specialty program comprising package products, general liability, commercial auto liability, excess and surplus lines programs, and other specialty commercial property and casualty insurance to small and middle market companies. In addition, the company offers auto and credit life insurance products through its insurer partners to retail clients. Maiden Holdings, Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Stock analysis
Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA) currently trades at $9.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.61, implying the stock looks roughly 254.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $3.29 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the $9.24 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2700, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.93 (bear) to $3.27 (bull), the price of $9.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 reported revenue of $56.4M in FY2024 versus $184M in FY2020, a compound −25.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$201M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0B · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Free cash flow −$67.4M · Net cash $34.7M.
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financials peers we cover trades at 73% fair-value upside, at −72%, MHLA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.93Fair Value $2.61Bull $3.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−37.2%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−42.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−19.8% (2018) → 65.5% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Insurance” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Financials · 3342 stocks
Beats the sector median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity5.66× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Financials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MHLA
Frequently asked questions
Is Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.61 versus a price of $9.24, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MHLA?
Our model-based fair value for Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 is $2.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.24.
What is the quality score of MHLA?
Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.93, optimistic scenario $3.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.61, about −72% upside versus a price of $9.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.93, optimistic scenario $3.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 it is $2.61 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $9.24. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MHLA trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.24, fair value $2.61, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MHLA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.61). For Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 the two are $6.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 worth?
The market values Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $9.24; our models calculate a fair value of $2.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MHLA?
Our models span a range for Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046: cautious scenario $1.93, base $2.61, optimistic $3.27 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $9.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (as of Sep 23, 2026): debt of 5.66 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MHLA from its 52-week high?
Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 trades at $9.24, about 24% below its 52-week high of $12.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046?
From the same area (Financials) we also value Ping An Insurance (Group) Company, NRCP, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, CGABL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $9.24, calculated fair value $2.61 (−72%), Quality Score 36/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MHLA calculated?
We run Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was $9.24. Our model-based fair value is $2.61, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046
How large is the market capitalisation of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA)?
The market capitalisation of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA) generate?
The free cash flow of Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 is −$67.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 (MHLA) hold?
Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046 holds more cash than debt, $34.7M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026