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Unum Group (UNMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financials · US · Market cap $5.3B

UG Unum Group logo Unum Group UNMA · US
Price$21.20
Fair Value$37.30
Upside+76.0%
Quality52/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.32% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $29.45 – $45.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from $36.59 to $37.30 (+1.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($29.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$23.39 $17.30 Fair Value $37.30 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.30 – $23.39 · fair‑value band $29.45 – $45.48 · the $21.20 price screens below the $37.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Unum Group (UNMA) currently trades at $21.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.30, implying the stock looks roughly 76.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at $3.7B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 4.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.45 (bear case) to $45.48 (bull case); at $21.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financials peers we cover trades at 100% fair-value upside, at 76%, UNMA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $34.81 $36.13 $37.25 76
P/E Multiple $28.53 $38.04 $47.55 63
P/B Multiple $37.31 $49.74 $62.18 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $28.53 $38.04 $47.55 63
P/B Multiple $37.31 $49.74 $62.18 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.03 $29.52 $44.05 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $34.81 $36.13 $37.25 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($38.04) versus Asset-Based ($29.52). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow $555M FY2025
P/E ratio 4.5
Dividend yield 4.3%
Net debt $3.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Unum Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial protection benefit solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Unum US, Unum UK, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segments.

Full company description

Unum Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial protection benefit solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Unum US, Unum UK, Colonial Life, and Closed Block segments. The company offers group long-term and short-term disability, group life, and accidental death and dismemberment products; supplemental and voluntary products, such as individual disability, voluntary benefits, and dental and vision products; and accident, sickness, disability, life, and cancer and critical illness products. It also provides group pension, individual life and corporate-owned life insurance, reinsurance pools and management operations, and other products. The company sells its products primarily to employers for the benefit of employees. Unum Group sells its products through field sales personnel, independent brokers, and consultants, as well as independent contractor agency sales force. The company was founded in 1848 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Unum Group reported revenue of $13.1B in FY2025 versus $11.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $739M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.1B
Latest YoY
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+5.1%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 $11.8B
FY22 $11.9B
FY23 $12.3B
FY24 $12.8B
FY25 $13.1B
Net income −6.9%/yr
FY21 $981M
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $739M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Unum Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UNMA

Peer Group

Financials · 3352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Life & Health Insurance” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +76% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Financials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 32
FUTURE 0 · sector 37
PAST 0 · sector 38
HEALTH 87 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Life & Health Insurance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FMCKK $12.00 $24.00 +100%
CGABL CGABL $16.46 $10.72 -35%
American Financial Group AFGE $15.98 $17.71 +11%
Affiliated Managers Group MGR $20.15 $36.48 +81%
540755 540755 ₹356.55 ₹713.10 +100%
500271 500271 ₹1,498 ₹416.36 -72%
LTG LTG 14.30 PHP 28.60 PHP +100%
LLPC LLPC £1.47 £1.03 -30%
Hercules Capital, Inc HCXY $25.16 $50.32 +100%
FDC FDC 4.27 PHP 8.54 PHP +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Unum Group (UNMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.30 versus a price of $21.20, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UNMA?
Our model-based fair value for Unum Group is $37.30 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $21.20.
What is the quality score of UNMA?
Unum Group has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of UNMA?
The net profit margin of Unum Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Unum Group pay a dividend?
Unum Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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