Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹81.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹148.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹69.21 to ₹148.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹153.56 – ₹528.41 · fair‑value band ₹69.21 – ₹148.41 · the ₹428.60 price screens above the ₹105.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited (MIDHANI) currently trades at ₹428.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹105.46, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited generated revenue of ₹12.1B at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 34.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at ₹2.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹69.21 (bear case) to ₹148.41 (bull case); at ₹428.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -75%, MIDHANI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹119.30) versus Dividend Discount (₹13.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited manufactures and sells super alloys, titanium, special purpose steel, and other special metals in India and internationally.
Full company description
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited manufactures and sells super alloys, titanium, special purpose steel, and other special metals in India and internationally. The company provides special steels, including martensitic, special, austenitic, and precipitation hardening steels for use in aerospace, power generation, nuclear, defence, cryogenic, and other general engineering industries. It also offers nickel, cobalt, and iron-based superalloys; titanium and titanium alloys, soft magnetic, controlled expansion alloys; investment castings products; bars, bright bars, and wires/fine wires; and hot and cold rolled sheets, and strips, as well as open die forging products. In addition, the company offers welding consumables, fasteners, biomedical implants, and armour products. Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited reported revenue of ₹12.1B in FY2026 versus ₹8.6B in FY2022, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.3B in FY2026, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +5.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MIDHANI screens 75% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 380 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,269 | ₹1,140 | -10% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.20 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 37.25 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 325,000 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -52% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,838 ARS | +16% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,112 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,894 | ₹771.10 | -59% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 39.22 MXN | -53% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,472 ARS | +55% |
| NMDC Limited NMDC | ₹85.00 | ₹112.98 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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