PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk (MIDI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 9.4T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 497.66 IDR to 402.87 IDR (−19.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 45% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (302.15 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (302.15 IDR to 850.64 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 146.82 IDR – 485.02 IDR · fair‑value band 302.15 IDR – 850.64 IDR · the 278.00 IDR price screens below the 402.87 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk (MIDI) currently trades at 278.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 402.87 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 44.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 21.0T IDR at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 15.9B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 302.15 IDR (bear case) to 850.64 IDR (bull case); at 278.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 45%, MIDI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (1,085 IDR) versus Asset-Based (91.01 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk engages in the retail trading in Indonesia. The company operates through Food, Fresh Food, and Non-Food segments. It engages in retail of consumer products and trading through minimarket networks under the Alfamidi brand; supermarket network under the Alfamidi super; and fruit store network under the Midi Fresh brand.
Full company description
PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk engages in the retail trading in Indonesia. The company operates through Food, Fresh Food, and Non-Food segments. It engages in retail of consumer products and trading through minimarket networks under the Alfamidi brand; supermarket network under the Alfamidi super; and fruit store network under the Midi Fresh brand. The company was formerly known as PT Midimart Utama. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Midi Utama Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 20.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 13.6T IDR in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was 792B IDR in FY2025, compounding +30.9%/yr from FY2021.
Watch MIDI: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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