Minera Valparaiso S.A (MINERA) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CL · Market cap 1.4T CLP
Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 7, 2026, revised from 22.54 CLP to 20,329 CLP (+90,089.9%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price −2.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 95% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (15,514 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6,224 CLP – 14,930 CLP · fair‑value band 15,514 CLP – 22,004 CLP · the 10,407 CLP price screens below the 20,329 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
Analysis
Minera Valparaiso S.A (MINERA) currently trades at 10,407 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20,329 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 95.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Minera Valparaiso S.A generated revenue of 1.6B CLP at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at 2.4B CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 15,514 CLP (bear case) to 22,004 CLP (bull case); at 10,407 CLP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 95%, MINERA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (20,690 CLP) versus Earnings-Based (1,741 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Minera Valparaiso S.A., an investment company, engages in the production of electrical energy. The company is involved in the transportation, distribution, supply, and commercialization of electric power; sale of natural gas to industrial processes or degeneration; and administration, operation, and maintenance of hydraulic works, electrical, and central …
Full company description
Minera Valparaiso S.A., an investment company, engages in the production of electrical energy. The company is involved in the transportation, distribution, supply, and commercialization of electric power; sale of natural gas to industrial processes or degeneration; and administration, operation, and maintenance of hydraulic works, electrical, and central systems power generators. It also produces wood, pulp, packaging products, papers, tissue products, and personal care products; and leases its properties. The company was formerly known as Sociedad Fábrica de Cemento El Melón S.A. and changed its name to Minera Valparaíso S.A. in 1969. Minera Valparaiso S.A. was incorporated in 1906 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Minera Valparaiso S.A reported revenue of 1.6B CLP in FY2025 versus 1.4B CLP in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 169M CLP in FY2025, compounding −21.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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