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Minesto AB (MINEST) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · SE · Market cap 502M SEK

MA Minesto AB MINEST · ST
Pricekr 1.86
Fair Valuekr 0.2100
Upside-88.7%
Quality22/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -146.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.1400 – kr 0.2700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −13.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.2700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.1400 to kr 0.2700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 21.81 kr 0.5410 Fair Value kr 0.2100 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.5410 – kr 21.81 · fair‑value band kr 0.1400 – kr 0.2700 · the kr 1.86 price screens above the kr 0.2100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Minesto AB (MINEST) currently trades at kr 1.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.2100, implying the stock looks roughly 88.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 22.3M SEK. Revenue declined 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 67.1M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.1400 (bear case) to kr 0.2700 (bull case); at kr 1.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 271% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -89%, MINEST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.21 kr 1.62 kr 2.42 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.21 kr 1.62 kr 2.42 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 22.3M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.8%
Net margin -147%
Return on equity -5.5%
Free cash flow −14.2M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -126%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.1700
Net cash 67.1M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Minesto AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a marine energy developer in Sweden, Wales, the Faroe Islands, Northern Ireland, and Taiwan. The company offers kite system turbines, which produces electricity from tidal streams and ocean currents. It also provides site development, operations, and maintenance services.

Full company description

Minesto AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a marine energy developer in Sweden, Wales, the Faroe Islands, Northern Ireland, and Taiwan. The company offers kite system turbines, which produces electricity from tidal streams and ocean currents. It also provides site development, operations, and maintenance services. Minesto AB (publ) was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Minesto AB reported revenue of kr 0 in FY2025 versus kr 38.8M in FY2021. Reported net income was −kr 36.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
75.0K SEK
Latest YoY
−80.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−87.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−70.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.8%
Revenue
FY21 kr 38.8M
FY22 kr 42.8M
FY23 kr 391K
FY24 kr 75.0K
FY25 kr 0
Net income
FY21 −kr 14.9M
FY22 −kr 84.4M
FY23 −kr 27.1M
FY24 −kr 36.1M
FY25 −kr 36.6M

MINEST screens 89% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minesto AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MINEST

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -147% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -126% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.36× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 11
HEALTH 100 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.02 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 148.25 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.69 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,319 ₹169.61 -87%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.54 -11%
VERBUND AG OEWA €56.80 €66.19 +17%
BEP BEP $34.23 $70.40 +106%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥15.92 ¥7.55 -53%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥13.95 ¥16.63 +19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Minesto AB (MINEST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.2100 versus a price of kr 1.86, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MINEST?
Our model-based fair value for Minesto AB is kr 0.2100 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 1.86.
What is the quality score of MINEST?
Minesto AB has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Minesto AB (MINEST)?
Minesto AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.3M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MINEST?
The net profit margin of Minesto AB is about -146.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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