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Mitsui & Co (MITSY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $83.5B

MC Mitsui & Co logo Mitsui & Co MITSY · US
Price$629.83
Fair Value$647.09
Upside+2.7%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.36% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $485.32 – $808.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $657.70 to $647.09 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +9.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $485.32 (bear) to $808.86 (bull), base $647.09. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$815.06 $161.52 Fair Value $647.09 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $161.52 – $815.06 · fair‑value band $485.32 – $808.86 · the $629.83 price screens below the $647.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Mitsui & Co (MITSY) currently trades at $629.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $647.09, implying the stock looks roughly 2.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsui & Co generated revenue of $14.0T at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. Net debt stands at $4.7T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $485.32 (bear case) to $808.86 (bull case); at $629.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 3%, MITSY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $98,280 $131,040 $163,800 63
Residual Income $54,681 $60,887 $98,106 61
P/B Multiple $79,560 $106,080 $132,600 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $42,432 $202,930 $279,282 54
Lynch FV $54,076 $77,251 $100,426 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $98,280 $131,040 $163,800 63
P/B Multiple $79,560 $106,080 $132,600 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $31,070 $41,634 $62,140 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $54,681 $60,887 $98,106 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($106,080) versus Asset-Based ($41,634). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $14.0T
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 10.3%
Free cash flow −$165B FY2026
P/E ratio 16.2
More key figures
Operating margin 3.8%
EPS (TTM) $36.28
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.3%
Net debt $4.7T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. operates as trading company in Japan and internationally. It operates through Energy; Mobility, Digital & Infrastructure; Chemicals; Iron & Steel Products, Wellness Ecosystem; Innovation & Corporate Development; and All Other segments.

Full company description

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. operates as trading company in Japan and internationally. It operates through Energy; Mobility, Digital & Infrastructure; Chemicals; Iron & Steel Products, Wellness Ecosystem; Innovation & Corporate Development; and All Other segments. The company is involved in development, processing and marketing of underground resources; recycling, space-related, and tank terminal business; manufacture and sale of iron and steel products; steel product processing and parts manufacturing; provision of maintenance services, as well as hydrogen, ammonia, biofuels, SAF, carbon solutions; development of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects; and trading and marketing of LNG, oil, petroleum products, coal, uranium, and other energy resources. It also provides digital and power solutions; logistics, water, and social infrastructure services; gas and offshore services; intermediary services; gas and basic chemicals, and performance monomers; and material, electronics, natural capital, animal, food science, agriscience, and agri solutions. In addition, the company engages in manufacturing, wholesale, retail, finance, leasing, and rental of construction and mining machinery, automobiles, parts, and related products; sales of machine tools and secondhand ships; trade, ownership, and operation of commercial ships; and sale, purchase, leasing and financing of airplanes, helicopters and aircraft engines, and other aviation-related business. Further, it trades grains, oilseeds, feed ingredients, oils and fats, raw sugar, ethanol, and other commodities; develops coffee, cocoa beans, tea, dairy products, refined sugar, and processed oils and fats; plana and produces apparel and accessories; sells fiber and textile materials; and retails apparel, accessories, and food; and engages in wellness, IT and communication, and corporate development businesses. Mitsui & Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mitsui & Co reported revenue of $14.8T in FY2026 versus $11.8T in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $884B in FY2026, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$14.8T
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+9.7%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY22 $11.8T
FY23 $14.3T
FY24 $13.3T
FY25 $14.7T
FY26 $14.8T
Net income −0.8%/yr
FY22 $915B
FY23 $1.1T
FY24 $1.1T
FY25 $900B
FY26 $884B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mitsui & Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MITSY

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.57× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.03× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 16
PAST 41 · sector 20
HEALTH 71 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 47 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

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Thermax Limited THERMAX ₹4,809 ₹1,087 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mitsui & Co (MITSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $647.09 versus a price of $629.83, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MITSY?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsui & Co is $647.09 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $629.83.
What is the quality score of MITSY?
Mitsui & Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mitsui & Co (MITSY)?
Mitsui & Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.0T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MITSY?
The net profit margin of Mitsui & Co is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mitsui & Co pay a dividend?
Mitsui & Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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