MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of MarketAxess Holdings Inc $240, price $164, upside +46.6%, quality 85 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $109.09 – $463.24 · fair‑value band $67.66 – $411.68 · the $163.71 price screens below the $239.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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MarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer firms in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers trading technology to access liquidity on its platforms in U.S. high-grade bonds, U.S.
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MarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer firms in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers trading technology to access liquidity on its platforms in U.S. high-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, emerging market debt, eurobonds, municipal bonds, U.S. government bonds, and other fixed-income securities; and executes bond trades between and among institutional investor and broker-dealer clients in an all-to-all anonymous trading environment for corporate bonds through its Open Trading protocols. It also provides automated and algorithmic trading solutions, such as X-Pro, a trading platform to combine trading protocols with its proprietary data and pre-trade analytics; and integrated and actionable data offerings, including CP+ and Axess All, a real-time pricing engine, including Auto-X and portfolio trading. In addition, the company offers various pre-and post-trade services, such as processing, trade matching, trade publication, regulatory transaction reporting, and market and reference data across a range of fixed-income and other products. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) currently trades at $163.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $239.97, implying the stock looks roughly 31.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $238.58 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $163.71 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $45.13, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $67.66 (bear) to $411.68 (bull), the price of $163.71 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MarketAxess Holdings Inc reported revenue of $849M in FY2025 versus $701M in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $247M in FY2025, compounding −1.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $6.0B · P/E ratio 19.4 · P/S ratio 5.63 · EPS (TTM) $8.44 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 29.0% · Return on equity 24.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 47%, MKTX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $67.66Fair Value $239.97Bull $411.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.94 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.9% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 41%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.4% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare MarketAxess Holdings Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 463 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score85 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+47% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)36% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)44% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
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Is MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $239.97 versus a price of $163.71, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MKTX?
Our model-based fair value for MarketAxess Holdings Inc is $239.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $163.71.
What is the quality score of MKTX?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $239.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $67.66, optimistic scenario $411.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MarketAxess Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $239.97, about +47% upside versus a price of $163.71 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $67.66, optimistic scenario $411.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $871M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does MarketAxess Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MarketAxess Holdings Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MKTX use?
Our models discount MarketAxess Holdings Inc at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MarketAxess Holdings Inc that is +3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MarketAxess Holdings Inc grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies +3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MarketAxess Holdings Inc (+3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.20 %: that much free cash flow MarketAxess Holdings Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MarketAxess Holdings Inc it is $239.97 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $163.71. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MarketAxess Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MKTX trades below its calculated fair value: price $163.71, fair value $239.97, a gap of about +47% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MKTX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($163.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($239.97). For MarketAxess Holdings Inc the two are $76.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MarketAxess Holdings Inc worth?
The market values MarketAxess Holdings Inc at about $6.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $163.71; our models calculate a fair value of $239.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MKTX?
Our models span a range for MarketAxess Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $67.66, base $239.97, optimistic $411.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $163.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MKTX?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $239.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 5.3, P/S 6.9, EV/EBITDA 13.1.
What is the PEG ratio of MKTX?
The PEG ratio of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is 0.97 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
Balance-sheet figures for MarketAxess Holdings Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 24.3%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 85/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MKTX from its 52-week high?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc trades at $163.71, about 15% below its 52-week high of $192.55 and 50% above the low of $109.09 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $239.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MarketAxess Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MarketAxess Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $163.71, calculated fair value $239.97 (+47%), Quality Score 85/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MKTX calculated?
We run MarketAxess Holdings Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $239.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. MarketAxess Holdings Inc currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $163.71. Our model-based fair value is $239.97, about +47% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MarketAxess Holdings Inc right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (85/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide ($67.66 to $411.68). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) come from?
Earnings per share at MarketAxess Holdings Inc grew +11.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.3 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of MarketAxess Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The market capitalisation of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is $6.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is 5.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
Earnings per share at MarketAxess Holdings Inc are $8.44 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The dividend yield of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is 1.9% (payout 36.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The net margin of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is 29.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is 24.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is 19.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
The operating margin of MarketAxess Holdings Inc is 43.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
Revenue at MarketAxess Holdings Inc is growing +11.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX)?
Earnings per share at MarketAxess Holdings Inc are growing +450% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX) hold?
MarketAxess Holdings Inc holds more cash than debt, $235M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026