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PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk (MLBI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 13.3T IDR

PM PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk MLBI · JK
Price7,000 IDR
Fair Value11,733 IDR
Upside+67.6%
Quality86/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 33.5% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 91/100
Evidence: High Range 8,126 IDR – 14,562 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +10.7% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 68% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (86/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (8,126 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

8,344 IDR 4,726 IDR Fair Value 11,733 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4,726 IDR – 8,344 IDR · fair‑value band 8,126 IDR – 14,562 IDR · the 7,000 IDR price screens below the 11,733 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk (MLBI) currently trades at 7,000 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,733 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 67.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 3.6T IDR at a net margin of 33.5%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 78.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 876B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 8,126 IDR (bear case) to 14,562 IDR (bull case); at 7,000 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 68%, MLBI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 2,369 IDR 2,844 IDR 15,444 IDR 76
Growth DCF 7,482 IDR 11,177 IDR 16,766 IDR 72
Gordon GGM 5,194 IDR 11,339 IDR 19,078 IDR 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 7,343 IDR 11,499 IDR 18,191 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 7,734 IDR 12,126 IDR 19,198 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 3,885 IDR 5,154 IDR 6,679 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 7,810 IDR 12,527 IDR 18,032 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 8,023 IDR 12,927 IDR 18,085 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4,968 IDR 6,432 IDR 8,249 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 7,588 IDR 11,681 IDR 17,151 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 7,727 IDR 11,966 IDR 17,192 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3,819 IDR 12,103 IDR 16,125 IDR 54
Lynch FV 2,662 IDR 3,802 IDR 4,943 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 2,662 IDR 3,802 IDR 4,943 IDR 46
EPV 6,001 IDR 6,978 IDR 7,846 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5,194 IDR 11,339 IDR 19,078 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5,194 IDR 8,829 IDR 11,817 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8,846 IDR 11,794 IDR 14,743 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 2,018 IDR 2,690 IDR 3,363 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 2,657 IDR 3,543 IDR 4,429 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 9,749 IDR 12,843 IDR 15,938 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 8,954 IDR 11,783 IDR 14,613 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 2,232 IDR 2,988 IDR 3,745 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 322.10 IDR 431.61 IDR 644.20 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 7,482 IDR 11,177 IDR 16,766 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 3,885 IDR 5,245 IDR 6,853 IDR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,369 IDR 2,844 IDR 15,444 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 6,056 IDR 7,105 IDR 8,081 IDR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 7,360 IDR 10,514 IDR 13,669 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (11,681 IDR) versus Asset-Based (431.61 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%
Net margin 33.5%
Return on equity 78.6%
Free cash flow 1.2T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 10.3
More key figures
Operating margin 38.4%
EPS (TTM) 578.87 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +17.5%
Net cash 876B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 86/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 95
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk operates as a beverage company in Indonesia and internationally. The company is involved in the production and marketing of alcoholic beverages and other products, as well as management consulting activity.

Full company description

PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk operates as a beverage company in Indonesia and internationally. The company is involved in the production and marketing of alcoholic beverages and other products, as well as management consulting activity. It offers beers under the Heineken; BINTANG Pilsener; BINTANG Arak Jeruk; BINTANG Anggur Merah; BINTANG Crystal; BINTANG Radler; and BINTANG 0.0% brand names. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Heineken International B.V.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 3.5T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.5T IDR in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding +15.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 96/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.5T IDR
Latest YoY
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+8.1%
Revenue +9.4%/yr
FY21 2.5T IDR
FY22 3.1T IDR
FY23 3.3T IDR
FY24 3.4T IDR
FY25 3.5T IDR
Net income +15.5%/yr
FY21 666B IDR
FY22 925B IDR
FY23 1.1T IDR
FY24 1.1T IDR
FY25 1.2T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLBI

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 86 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 79% · Top 25%
Return on assets 28% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 9.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 34
FUTURE 66 · sector 3
PAST 100 · sector 36
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI €73.62 €41.60 -43%
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 6,060 ARS -57%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD 222.91 MXN 201.74 MXN -9%
Heineken N.V HEIA €77.24 €65.06 -16%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $135.72 $177.43 +31%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,125 kr 607.30 -46%
Heineken Holding HEIO €71.20 €72.67 +2%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥53.60 ¥63.65 +19%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.58 HK$6.05 -8%
Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA C$63.10 C$74.42 +18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk (MLBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11,733 IDR versus a price of 7,000 IDR, about +68% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLBI?
Our model-based fair value for PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk is 11,733 IDR (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 7,000 IDR.
What is the quality score of MLBI?
PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 86/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk (MLBI)?
PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MLBI?
The net profit margin of PT Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk is about 33.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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