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MicroAlgo Inc (MLGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $53.0M

MI MicroAlgo Inc logo MicroAlgo Inc MLGO · US
Price$4.17
Fair Value$12.45
Upside+198.6%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 27.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range $12.23 – $12.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $16.80 to $12.45 (−25.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 199% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($12.23 to $12.71), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$71,520 $3.13 Fair Value $12.45 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.13 – $71,520 · fair‑value band $12.23 – $12.71 · the $4.17 price screens below the $12.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

MicroAlgo Inc (MLGO) currently trades at $4.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.45, implying the stock looks roughly 198.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MicroAlgo Inc generated revenue of $422M at a net margin of 27.0%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $170M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.23 (bear case) to $12.71 (bull case); at $4.17, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at 199%, MLGO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $17.67 $18.06 $18.65 72
Growth-Adj P/E $15.72 $22.45 $29.19 68
Rev-Margin DCF $17.06 $17.37 $17.78 67
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $17.63 $18.04 $18.73 38
Owner Earnings $26.90 $29.62 $34.15 31
5Y Revenue Exit $17.06 $17.32 $17.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.14 $17.46 $17.89 41
5Y P/E Exit $26.82 $34.09 $42.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit $17.31 $17.52 $17.73 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.37 $17.60 $17.83 37
10Y P/E Exit $22.41 $26.53 $30.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.07 $13.41 $15.46 54
EPV $16.22 $16.25 $16.28 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $22.22 $29.62 $37.03 63
P/S Multiple $10.29 $13.72 $17.15 58
P/B Multiple $18.88 $25.18 $31.47 55
EV/EBIT $16.90 $17.20 $17.51 53
EV/EBITDA $16.82 $17.10 $17.38 54
EV/Revenue $16.60 $16.86 $17.13 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.10 $20.23 $30.19 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $17.67 $18.06 $18.65 72
Rev-Margin DCF $17.06 $17.37 $17.78 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.72 $20.06 $16.67 61
ROIC Compounder $16.22 $16.25 $16.28 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.72 $22.45 $29.19 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($22.45) versus Earnings-Based ($13.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $422M
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.8%
Net margin 27.0%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow $2.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.3
More key figures
Operating margin -1.2%
EPS (TTM) $2.12
EPS growth (YoY) +502%
Net cash $170M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MicroAlgo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and applies central processing algorithm solutions to customers in internet advertisement and intelligent chip industries in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally.

Full company description

MicroAlgo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and applies central processing algorithm solutions to customers in internet advertisement and intelligent chip industries in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It offers algorithm optimization, accelerating computing power without the need for hardware upgrades, data processing, and data intelligence services. The company also provides advertising display and distribution, performance-based advertising services, software development, and solutions for enterprise customers and intelligent chips solutions. In addition, it engages in the resale of intelligent chips and accessories. MicroAlgo Inc. is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. MicroAlgo Inc. operates as a subsidiary of WiMi Hologram Cloud Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MicroAlgo Inc reported revenue of $60.0M in FY2025 versus $82.0M in FY2021, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $16.2M in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$60.0M
Latest YoY
−19.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.7%
Revenue −7.5%/yr
FY21 $82.0M
FY22 $85.0M
FY23 $81.7M
FY24 $74.2M
FY25 $60.0M
Net income +17.3%/yr
FY21 $8.6M
FY22 −$6.8M
FY23 −$37.8M
FY24 $5.3M
FY25 $16.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MicroAlgo Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLGO

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +199% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 21.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 46
PAST 30 · sector 15
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MicroAlgo Inc (MLGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.45 versus a price of $4.17, about +199% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLGO?
Our model-based fair value for MicroAlgo Inc is $12.45 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.17.
What is the quality score of MLGO?
MicroAlgo Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MicroAlgo Inc (MLGO)?
MicroAlgo Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $422M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MLGO?
The net profit margin of MicroAlgo Inc is about 27.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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