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Photonike Capital SA (MLPHO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · FR · Market cap €12.2M

PC Photonike Capital SA MLPHO · PA
Price€0.1000
Fair Value€0.2200
Upside+120.0%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 32.8% net margin
Low debt
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Wide moat 81/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.1680 – €0.3300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from €0.2160 to €0.2200 (+1.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −13.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 120% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.1680). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€0.1680 to €0.3300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€1.30 €0.1000 Fair Value €0.2200 Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.1000 – €1.30 · fair‑value band €0.1680 – €0.3300 · the €0.1000 price screens below the €0.2200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Photonike Capital SA (MLPHO) currently trades at €0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 120.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Photonike Capital SA generated revenue of €1.8M at a net margin of 32.8%. Net debt stands at €18.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.1680 (bear case) to €0.3300 (bull case); at €0.1000, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 120%, MLPHO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple €0.4000 €0.5400 €0.6700 55
NCAV (Graham) €0.3200 €0.4200 €0.6300 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple €0.4000 €0.5400 €0.6700 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.3200 €0.4200 €0.6300 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€0.5400) versus Asset-Based (€0.4200). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.8M
Net margin 32.8%
Operating margin 28.8%
Net debt €18.2M FY2021

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 7
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Photonike Capital SA provides bespoke risk protection solutions in the industrial and financial processes. It offers tailor made solutions for credit enhancement, market hedging, and alternative finance purposes. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Brussels, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2017 – FY2021 · reported fiscal years

Photonike Capital SA reported revenue of €0 in FY2021 versus €1.8M in FY2017. Reported net income was −€450K in FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2017)
€1.8M
Latest YoY
+196.4%
Revenue
FY17 €1.8M
FY18 €0
FY19 €0
FY20 €0
FY21 €0
Net income
FY17 −€16.7K
FY18 −€88.5K
FY19 −€10.8K
FY20 −€52.4K
FY21 −€450K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Photonike Capital SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLPHO

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +120% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 96
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 86 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Photonike Capital SA (MLPHO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2200 versus a price of €0.1000, about +120% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLPHO?
Our model-based fair value for Photonike Capital SA is €0.2200 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.1000.
What is the quality score of MLPHO?
Photonike Capital SA has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Photonike Capital SA (MLPHO)?
Photonike Capital SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MLPHO?
The net profit margin of Photonike Capital SA is about 32.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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