Umalis Group (MLUMG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FR · Market cap €3.8M
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 23, 2026, revised from €14.22 to €9.00 (−36.7%) since Jun 11, 2026. Share price −21.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 200% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€6.75). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.06 – €6.05 · fair‑value band €6.75 – €11.25 · the €3.00 price screens below the €9.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Umalis Group (MLUMG) currently trades at €3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.00, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Umalis Group generated revenue of €9.6M at a net margin of -5.7%. Net debt stands at €1.8M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €6.75 (bear case) to €11.25 (bull case); at €3.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at 200%, MLUMG screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Umalis Group provides wage portage services for consultants working in the various fields of IT sector and new technologies in France and internationally. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Umalis Group reported revenue of €8.8M in FY2024 versus €4.7M in FY2020, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.3M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adecco Group ADEN | CHF 20.46 | CHF 23.73 | +16% |
| Korn Ferry, KFY | $78.61 | $114.56 | +46% |
| Robert Half Inc RHI | $36.70 | $22.10 | -40% |
| TriNet Group TNET | $57.56 | $70.85 | +23% |
| ManpowerGroup Inc MAN | $39.02 | $29.67 | -24% |
| Insperity, Inc NSP | $49.48 | $17.34 | -65% |
| FESCO Group 600861 | ¥13.24 | ¥45.46 | +243% |
| Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP | 47.40 PLN | 65.45 PLN | +38% |
| Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI | $37.43 | $38.42 | +3% |
| Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831 | 5.36 SAR | 6.92 SAR | +29% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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