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Umalis Group (MLUMG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Umalis Group is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 23, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · FR

UG Thin data Jun 23, 2026

Umalis Group

MLUMG · PA

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value €12.00 · Strongly undervalued (+200%)
!Quality 36/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.7% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others)
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€6.05 €1.06 Fair Value €12.00 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.06 – €6.05 · fair‑value band €9.00 – €15.00 · the €4.00 price screens below the €12.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Umalis Group provides wage portage services for consultants working in the various fields of IT sector and new technologies in France and internationally. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Paris, France.

Stock analysis

Umalis Group (MLUMG) currently trades at €4.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.00, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 85/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: €9.00 (bear) to €15.00 (bull), the price of €4.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Umalis Group reported revenue of €8.8M in FY2024 versus €4.7M in FY2020, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.3M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap €5.0M · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) €−0.8400 · Net margin −14.9% · Return on equity −686% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.3% · Operating margin −7.9% · Revenue (TTM) €9.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 200%, MLUMG screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 3
Are margins and returns improving?
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 55
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+164.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.6% (2019) → −11.9% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 1
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 73

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adecco Group ADEN CHF 23.82 CHF 26.63 +12%
Korn Ferry, KFY $75.86 $114.56 +51%
Robert Half Inc RHI $37.58 $24.81 −34%
TriNet Group TNET $66.71 $97.07 +46%
ManpowerGroup Inc MAN $57.63 $23.19 −60%
Insperity, Inc NSP $50.26 $17.34 −65%
Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP 56.80 PLN 65.88 PLN +16%
Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI $33.26 $35.55 +7%
Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831 4.35 SAR 5.22 SAR +20%
Kforce Inc KFRC $51.99 $35.44 −32%

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Umalis Group · Fair Value
€12.00 +67%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Umalis Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLUMG

Frequently asked questions

Is Umalis Group (MLUMG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.00 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of €4.00, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLUMG?
Our model-based fair value for Umalis Group is €12.00 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): €4.00.
What is the quality score of MLUMG?
Umalis Group has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €12.00 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.00, optimistic scenario €15.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Umalis Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €12.00, about +200% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of €4.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €9.00, optimistic scenario €15.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
Umalis Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.6M (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Umalis Group it is €12.00 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of €4.00. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Umalis Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, MLUMG trades below its calculated fair value: price €4.00, fair value €12.00, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLUMG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€12.00). For Umalis Group the two are €8.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Umalis Group worth?
The market values Umalis Group at about €5.0M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is €4.00; our models calculate a fair value of €12.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLUMG?
Our models span a range for Umalis Group: cautious scenario €9.00, base €12.00, optimistic €15.00 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price €4.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Umalis Group (as of Jun 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLUMG from its 52-week high?
Umalis Group trades at €4.00, at its 52-week high of €4.00 and 160% above the low of €1.54 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €12.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Umalis Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adecco Group, Korn Ferry,, Robert Half Inc, TriNet Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Umalis Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price €4.00, calculated fair value €12.00 (+200%), Quality Score 36/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLUMG calculated?
We run Umalis Group through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €12.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Umalis Group currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at €4.00. Our model-based fair value is €12.00, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Umalis Group right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€9.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Umalis Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
The market capitalisation of Umalis Group is €5.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Umalis Group is 0.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
Earnings per share at Umalis Group are €−0.8400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
The net margin of Umalis Group is −14.9% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Umalis Group is −686% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Umalis Group is −6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Umalis Group (MLUMG)?
The operating margin of Umalis Group is −7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much net debt does Umalis Group (MLUMG) carry?
The net debt of Umalis Group is €1.8M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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