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Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Momentum Group AB (publ) $16.24, price $15.03, upside +8.1%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US

MG Momentum Group AB (publ) logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Momentum Group AB (publ)

MMGRF · US

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $16.24 · Fairly valued (+8.1%)
✓Quality 62/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +21.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Moderate moat 61/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 1 out of 100
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$17.03 $11.54 Fair Value $16.24 Sep 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

12‑month range $11.54 – $17.03 · fair‑value band $12.18 – $28.70 · the $15.03 price screens below the $16.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Momentum Group AB (publ) supplies industrial components, industrial services, and related services to the industrial sector in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, and internationally. The company operates through Industry and Infrastructure segments.

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Momentum Group AB (publ) supplies industrial components, industrial services, and related services to the industrial sector in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, and internationally. The company operates through Industry and Infrastructure segments. It offers ball and rolling bearings, transmissions, engines, filters, and seals; hydraulics, linear technology, and pneumatics products and services; customized rubber products and profiles; hydraulic installation and maintenance services; industrial consumables; measuring devices; and assembly, advisory, and training services. The company also provides flow technology solutions and products, such as WHP, jet spray nozzles, jet spray lances, and flow meter wells; pipeline accessories; mini-treatment plants, septic tanks, pumping stations, rain recovery tanks, and oil separators; high-pressure pumps, test pressure equipment, and gas booster systems; CNG/hydrogen refuelling components and gas detection; pinch and knife gate valves, hose pumps, and pulse dampers; flow meters, filters, hoses, and couplings; and glass-reinforced plastic and thermoplastic pip solutions. In addition, it offers rotating equipment, turbines, and welding services; systems and services for operation and maintenance, measuring and calibration, and software installation and support; industrial measurement technology; and destructive and non-destructive material testing and calibration. Further, the company services, repairs, and conversions for electromechanical equipment; and products and services in measurement technology. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF) currently trades at $15.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.24, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.5%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.69 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $15.03 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $2.87, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $12.18 (bear) to $28.70 (bull), the price of $15.03 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Momentum Group AB (publ) reported revenue of 3.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.7B SEK in FY2022, a compound +21.2%/yr. Reported net income was 187M SEK in FY2025, compounding +10.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $743M · P/E ratio 37.1 · P/S ratio 2.24 · EPS (TTM) $0.4000 · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 22.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.6% · Revenue growth (YoY) +0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 8%, MMGRF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $12.18 Fair Value $16.24 Bull $28.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3025 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $7.45 $13.65 $23.68 74
Growth DCF $7.25 $12.50 $20.37 73
Owner Earnings $7.52 $13.77 $23.89 71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.45 $13.65 $23.68 74
Owner Earnings $7.52 $13.77 $23.89 71
5Y Revenue Exit $5.60 $9.97 $15.93 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.51 $14.08 $22.51 70
5Y P/E Exit $5.87 $10.55 $16.00 66
10Y Revenue Exit $6.04 $10.29 $16.91 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.37 $13.11 $22.14 63
10Y P/E Exit $6.36 $10.69 $16.96 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.59 $13.74 $19.03 61
Lynch FV $3.78 $5.41 $7.03 58
PEG = 1.0 $3.78 $5.41 $7.03 55
EPV $3.03 $3.52 $3.93 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.00 $8.00 $10.00 63
P/S Multiple $4.86 $6.48 $8.10 58
P/B Multiple $4.86 $6.48 $8.10 55
EV/EBIT $6.68 $9.10 $11.52 66
EV/EBITDA $8.22 $11.14 $14.07 67
EV/Revenue $4.61 $6.83 $9.04 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8200 $1.10 $1.65 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.25 $12.50 $20.37 73
Rev-Margin DCF $5.60 $9.88 $15.66 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.08 $2.87 $5.06 70
ROIC Compounder $3.47 $4.69 $6.20 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.60 $8.00 $10.40 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 9%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.8% a year for the price and +4.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.7%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 106 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 22.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.41× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.92× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)47 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)1 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)89 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,256 $623.81 −50%
Fastenal Company FAST $50.23 $41.28 −18%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $222.74 $32.49 −85%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $367.44 $151.88 −59%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$226.98 C$127.90 −44%
Watsco, Inc WSO $317.23 $250.18 −21%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $332.29 $205.13 −38%
Finning International Inc FTT C$106.19 C$74.26 −30%
Indutrade AB INDT kr 258.60 kr 284.46 +10%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $42.64 $50.21 +18%

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Momentum Group AB (publ) · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Momentum Group AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMGRF

Frequently asked questions

Is Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.24 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $15.03, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MMGRF?
Our model-based fair value for Momentum Group AB (publ) is $16.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $15.03.
What is the quality score of MMGRF?
Momentum Group AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.24 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.18, optimistic scenario $28.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Momentum Group AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.24, about +8% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $15.03 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $12.18, optimistic scenario $28.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Momentum Group AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by +13.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +21.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MMGRF use?
Our models discount Momentum Group AB (publ) at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Momentum Group AB (publ) that is +13.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Momentum Group AB (publ) grew +21.2 % a year. The price currently implies +13.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Momentum Group AB (publ) (+13.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.41 %: that much free cash flow Momentum Group AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Momentum Group AB (publ) it is $16.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $15.03. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Momentum Group AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MMGRF trades below its calculated fair value: price $15.03, fair value $16.24, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MMGRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.24). For Momentum Group AB (publ) the two are $1.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Momentum Group AB (publ) worth?
The market values Momentum Group AB (publ) at about $743M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $15.03; our models calculate a fair value of $16.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MMGRF?
Our models span a range for Momentum Group AB (publ): cautious scenario $12.18, base $16.24, optimistic $28.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $15.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MMGRF?
Momentum Group AB (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.24 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, EV/EBITDA 2.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Momentum Group AB (publ) (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.2%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MMGRF from its 52-week high?
Momentum Group AB (publ) trades at $15.03, about 12% below its 52-week high of $17.03 and 30% above the low of $11.54 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Momentum Group AB (publ)?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Momentum Group AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $15.03, calculated fair value $16.24 (+8%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MMGRF calculated?
We run Momentum Group AB (publ) through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Momentum Group AB (publ) currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $15.03. Our model-based fair value is $16.24, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Momentum Group AB (publ) right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($12.18 to $28.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Momentum Group AB (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
The market capitalisation of Momentum Group AB (publ) is $743M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Momentum Group AB (publ) is 2.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
Earnings per share at Momentum Group AB (publ) are $0.4000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
The net margin of Momentum Group AB (publ) is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Momentum Group AB (publ) is 22.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Momentum Group AB (publ) is 13.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
Revenue at Momentum Group AB (publ) is growing +0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF)?
Earnings per share at Momentum Group AB (publ) are growing −11.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Momentum Group AB (publ) (MMGRF) carry?
The net debt of Momentum Group AB (publ) is 344M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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