Metro Mining Limited (MMILD) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $303M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $2.04 to $1.58 (−22.5%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −15.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.15 to $2.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range $0.4470 – $1.21 · fair‑value band $1.15 – $2.15 · the $0.9300 price screens below the $1.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Metro Mining Limited (MMILD) currently trades at $0.9300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.58, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Metro Mining Limited generated revenue of $378M at a net margin of 37.6%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 125.1%. Net debt stands at $44.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.15 (bear case) to $2.15 (bull case); at $0.9300, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 70%, MMILD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($14.06) versus Asset-Based ($0.4100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Metro Mining Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an exploration and mining company in Australia. The company explores bauxite. Its flagship project is the Bauxite Hills Mine property that covers an area of approximately 825 square kilometers located on Western Cape York in Far North Queensland.
Full company description
Metro Mining Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an exploration and mining company in Australia. The company explores bauxite. Its flagship project is the Bauxite Hills Mine property that covers an area of approximately 825 square kilometers located on Western Cape York in Far North Queensland. The company sells bauxite to its customers in China and United Arab Emirates. The company was formerly known as MetroCoal Limited and changed its name to Metro Mining Limited in December 2014. Metro Mining Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Metro Mining Limited reported revenue of $378M in FY2025 versus $178M in FY2022, a compound +28.6%/yr. Reported net income was $142M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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