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Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Monnalisa S.p.A €0.61, price €0.66, upside -6.9%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
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Consumer Cyclical · IT · ISIN IT0005338139

MS Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Monnalisa S.p.A

MNL · MI

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value €0.6144 · Fairly valued (−7%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -20.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 24 out of 100
!Weak on future: 14 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€4.22 €0.5150 Fair Value €0.6144 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.5150 – €4.22 · fair‑value band €0.4561 – €0.7582 · the €0.6600 price screens above the €0.6144 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Monnalisa S.p.A. designs, produces, and distributes childrenswear in Italy and internationally. It sells its products through boutiques, marketplaces, department stores, as well as on its monnalisa.com e-commerce site. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Arezzo, Italy. Monnalisa S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Jafin Due S.R.L.

Stock analysis

Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL) currently trades at €0.6600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.6144, implying the stock looks roughly 7.4% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €3.29 per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the €0.6600 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.5200, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.4561 (bear) to €0.7582 (bull), the price of €0.6600 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Monnalisa S.p.A reported revenue of €33.8M in FY2025 versus €43.7M in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€7.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €3.5M · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) €−1.09 · Net margin −20.7% · Return on equity −78.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.9% · Operating margin 22.5% · Revenue (TTM) €34.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −7%, MNL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.4561 Fair Value €0.6144 Bull €0.7582
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €5.98 €8.40 €12.75 80
Growth DCF €6.26 €8.59 €12.46 79
5Y EBITDA Exit €3.51 €4.80 €6.51 76
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €5.98 €8.40 €12.75 80
5Y Revenue Exit €4.51 €6.53 €9.45 72
5Y EBITDA Exit €3.51 €4.80 €6.51 76
10Y Revenue Exit €4.94 €6.47 €8.08 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.47 €5.43 €6.39 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €2.30 €3.29 €4.27 67
EV/Revenue €3.92 €5.87 €7.83 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.3900 €0.5200 €0.7800 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €6.26 €8.59 €12.46 79
Rev-Margin DCF €4.51 €6.69 €9.40 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.6% (2020) → −7.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Monnalisa S.p.A with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 225 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.12× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)24 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)14 · sector 5
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)44 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $346.06 $225.13 −35%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €43.81 €50.69 +16%
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL $47.01 $51.71 +10%
LPP SA LPP 24,520 PLN 20,032 PLN −18%
Levi Strauss & Co LEVI $20.06 $15.83 −21%
V.F. Corporation VFC $13.55 $13.41 −1%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.02 HK$5.92 +47%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥8.19 ¥5.59 −32%
Kontoor Brands, Inc KTB $67.82 $85.76 +26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹37,340 ₹28,533 −24%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Monnalisa S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MNL

Frequently asked questions

Is Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.6144 versus a price of €0.6600, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MNL?
Our model-based fair value for Monnalisa S.p.A is €0.6144 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.6600.
What is the quality score of MNL?
Monnalisa S.p.A has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.6144 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.4561, optimistic scenario €0.7582. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Monnalisa S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.6144, about −7% upside versus a price of €0.6600 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €0.4561, optimistic scenario €0.7582. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
Monnalisa S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €34.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Monnalisa S.p.A it is €0.6144 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.6600. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Monnalisa S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MNL trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.6600, fair value €0.6144, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MNL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.6600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.6144). For Monnalisa S.p.A the two are €0.0456 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Monnalisa S.p.A worth?
The market values Monnalisa S.p.A at about €3.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.6600; our models calculate a fair value of €0.6144 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MNL?
Our models span a range for Monnalisa S.p.A: cautious scenario €0.4561, base €0.6144, optimistic €0.7582 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.6600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Monnalisa S.p.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −78.4%, debt of 1.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MNL from its 52-week high?
Monnalisa S.p.A trades at €0.6600, about 39% below its 52-week high of €1.09 and 18% above the low of €0.5600 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.6144 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Monnalisa S.p.A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, Gildan Activewear Inc, LPP SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Monnalisa S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.6600, calculated fair value €0.6144 (−7%), Quality Score 49/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MNL calculated?
We run Monnalisa S.p.A through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.6144, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Monnalisa S.p.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.6600. Our model-based fair value is €0.6144, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Monnalisa S.p.A right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Monnalisa S.p.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
The market capitalisation of Monnalisa S.p.A is €3.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Monnalisa S.p.A is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
Earnings per share at Monnalisa S.p.A are €−1.09. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
The net margin of Monnalisa S.p.A is −20.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Monnalisa S.p.A is −78.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Monnalisa S.p.A is −5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
The operating margin of Monnalisa S.p.A is 22.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
Revenue at Monnalisa S.p.A is growing +2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL)?
Earnings per share at Monnalisa S.p.A are growing −95.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL) generate?
The free cash flow of Monnalisa S.p.A is €3.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Monnalisa S.p.A (MNL) carry?
The net debt of Monnalisa S.p.A is €11.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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