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Data-driven stock valuation

Molecure S.A. (MOC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Molecure S.A. stock PLN 4.28, price PLN 5.49, that is 22.0% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Healthcare PL · ISIN PLONCTH00011

MS Molecure S.A. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Molecure S.A.

MOC · WAR
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 22% below what the stock costs today.

Ranks above peers (6/8)
Revenue last quarter +29% vs. a year ago.
Quality 52/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +301.2 %/yr in PLN)
Fair value 4.28 PLN · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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Price vs Fair Value

47.30 PLN 5.11 PLN Fair Value 4.28 PLN Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.11 PLN – 47.30 PLN · fair‑value band 3.21 PLN – 5.35 PLN · the 5.49 PLN price screens above the 4.28 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Molecure S.A., a biotechnology company, engages in discovering, developing, and commercializing therapeutics for neoplastic and inflammatory diseases in Poland.

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The company is involved in the development of OATD-01, a chitotriosidase/AMCASE inhibitor that has completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of sarcoidosis, as well as in preclinical stage to treat idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and NASH. It also develops OATD-02, an arginase 1 and arginase 2, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of cancer; USP7, USP21, and YKL-40 for the treatment of cancer; and Deubiquitinase program.

The company was formerly known as OncoArendi Therapeutics S.A. and changed its name to Molecure S.A. in March 2022. Molecure S.A. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.

Stock analysis

Molecure S.A. (MOC) currently trades at 5.49 PLN, while our estimate is 4.28 PLN, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: 3.21 PLN (bear) to 5.35 PLN (bull), the price of 5.49 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Molecure S.A. reported revenue of 2.9M PLN in FY2024 versus 123M PLN in FY2020, a compound −60.7%/yr. Reported net income was −15.7M PLN in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 135M PLN (≈ $34.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 22.1 · EPS (TTM) −0.9900 PLN · Return on equity −16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −61.3% · Revenue (TTM) 6.5M PLN · Revenue growth (YoY) +29.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −22%, MOC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear 3.21 PLN Fair Value 4.28 PLN Bull 5.35 PLN
Price 5.49 PLN · Downside -22.0%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 93
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 16
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 89
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 41
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 39
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 16
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 44
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+301.2%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+101.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−171,945.5% (2019) → −1,151.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MOC screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 849 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −16.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) −61.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 29.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 20.75× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $916.06 $1,275 +39% vs MOC
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,468,000 KRW 1,661,000 KRW +13% vs MOC
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.89 $601.80 +10% vs MOC
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 3,581 kr 3,880 +8% vs MOC
argenx SE ARGX $971.55 $908.40 −7% vs MOC
CSL Limited CSL A$201.68 A$181.40 −10% vs MOC
Moderna, Inc MRNA $250.83 $158.70 −37% vs MOC
BeOne Medicines AG 6160 HK$252.20 HK$152.80 −39% vs MOC
Celltrion, Inc 068270 203,000 KRW 74,945 KRW −63% vs MOC
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $69.45 $19.01 −73% vs MOC

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Molecure S.A.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Molecure S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOC

Frequently asked questions

Is Molecure S.A. (MOC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 4.28 PLN versus a price of 5.49 PLN, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MOC?
Our estimate for Molecure S.A. is 4.28 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.49 PLN.
What is the quality score of MOC?
Molecure S.A. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 4.28 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 3.21 PLN, optimistic scenario 5.35 PLN. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Molecure S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 4.28 PLN, about 22% lower versus a price of 5.49 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.21 PLN, optimistic scenario 5.35 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
Molecure S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.5M PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Molecure S.A. it is 4.28 PLN per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 5.49 PLN.
Is Molecure S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, MOC trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.49 PLN, fair value 4.28 PLN, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.49 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.28 PLN). For Molecure S.A. the two are 1.21 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Molecure S.A. worth?
The market values Molecure S.A. at about 135M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 5.49 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 4.28 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOC?
Our models span a range for Molecure S.A.: cautious scenario 3.21 PLN, base 4.28 PLN, optimistic 5.35 PLN per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 5.49 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Molecure S.A. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −16.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOC from its 52-week high?
Molecure S.A. trades at 5.49 PLN, about 37% below its 52-week high of 8.68 PLN and 7% above the low of 5.11 PLN (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.28 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Molecure S.A.?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Moderna, Inc, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Molecure S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 5.49 PLN, calculated fair value 4.28 PLN (−22%), Quality Score 52/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Molecure S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 5.49 PLN. Our estimate is 4.28 PLN, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Molecure S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.35 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Molecure S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
The market capitalisation of Molecure S.A. is 135M PLN (≈ $34.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Molecure S.A. is 22.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
Earnings per share at Molecure S.A. are −0.9900 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Molecure S.A. is −16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Molecure S.A. is −24.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
The operating margin of Molecure S.A. is −61.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Molecure S.A. (MOC)?
Revenue at Molecure S.A. is growing +29.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1,840%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Molecure S.A. (MOC) generate?
The free cash flow of Molecure S.A. is −19.4M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Molecure S.A. (MOC) hold?
Molecure S.A. holds more cash than debt, 11.1M PLN net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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