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Molecular Partners AG (MOLN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $143M

MP Molecular Partners AG logo Molecular Partners AG MOLN · US
Price$4.21
Fair Value$1.87
Upside-55.6%
Quality33/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.23 – $2.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $1.86 to $1.87 (+0.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +7.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.23 to $2.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$31.89 $3.32 Fair Value $1.87 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.32 – $31.89 · fair‑value band $1.23 – $2.33 · the $4.21 price screens above the $1.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Molecular Partners AG (MOLN) currently trades at $4.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.87, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -59.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $79.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.23 (bear case) to $2.33 (bull case); at $4.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -56%, MOLN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.07 $1.43 $2.14 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.07 $1.43 $2.14 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue growth (YoY) -100%
Return on equity -59.0%
Free cash flow −$52.0M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-1.88
Net cash $79.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 22
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Molecular Partners AG, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, designs and develops designed ankyrin repeat proteins therapeutics for the treatment of oncology diseases in Switzerland.

Full company description

Molecular Partners AG, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, designs and develops designed ankyrin repeat proteins therapeutics for the treatment of oncology diseases in Switzerland. Its product pipeline comprises MP0317, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of advanced solid tumors; MP053, novel tetra-specific T cell-engaging DARPin, which is phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia; and MP0712, a 212Pb Radio-DARPin therapy (RDT) candidate targeting the tumor-associated protein delta-like ligand 3 (DLL3) which is in Phase 1 clinical trial to treat SCLC and neuroendocrine tumors. It also researches for Switch-DARPin T cell engager to treat CD3 x costim x; and MP0726, a Radio-DARPin Therapy to treat ovarian cancer and other MSLNexpressing cancers. In addition, the company develops MP0621, a Switch-DARPin candidate targeting CD16a, c-KIT, and CD47 as conditioning for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation; and Radio-DARPin Therapy (RDT) platform, a delivery system for effective and selective delivery of radioactive payloads to solid tumors. It has collaboration agreement with Orano Med SAS to develop novel Radio-DARPin therapeutics and an additional six targeted alpha therapeutics candidates and Eckert & Ziegler SE to develop Radio-DARPin therapeutics. Molecular Partners AG was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Schlieren, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Molecular Partners AG reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $9.3M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$61.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$5.0M
Latest YoY
−29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.6%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.7%
Revenue
FY21 $9.3M
FY22 $190M
FY23 $7.0M
FY24 $5.0M
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$63.8M
FY22 $118M
FY23 −$62.0M
FY24 −$54.0M
FY25 −$61.7M

MOLN screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Molecular Partners AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOLN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 606 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Return on assets -29% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -100% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.78× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 317,500 KRW 39,476 KRW -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Molecular Partners AG (MOLN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.87 versus a price of $4.21, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MOLN?
Our model-based fair value for Molecular Partners AG is $1.87 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.21.
What is the quality score of MOLN?
Molecular Partners AG has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of MOLN?
The net profit margin of Molecular Partners AG is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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