Molecular Partners AG (MOLN) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $143M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $1.86 to $1.87 (+0.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +7.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.23 to $2.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.32 – $31.89 · fair‑value band $1.23 – $2.33 · the $4.21 price screens above the $1.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Molecular Partners AG (MOLN) currently trades at $4.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.87, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
It earns a return on equity of -59.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $79.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.23 (bear case) to $2.33 (bull case); at $4.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -56%, MOLN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Molecular Partners AG, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, designs and develops designed ankyrin repeat proteins therapeutics for the treatment of oncology diseases in Switzerland.
Full company description
Molecular Partners AG, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, designs and develops designed ankyrin repeat proteins therapeutics for the treatment of oncology diseases in Switzerland. Its product pipeline comprises MP0317, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of advanced solid tumors; MP053, novel tetra-specific T cell-engaging DARPin, which is phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia; and MP0712, a 212Pb Radio-DARPin therapy (RDT) candidate targeting the tumor-associated protein delta-like ligand 3 (DLL3) which is in Phase 1 clinical trial to treat SCLC and neuroendocrine tumors. It also researches for Switch-DARPin T cell engager to treat CD3 x costim x; and MP0726, a Radio-DARPin Therapy to treat ovarian cancer and other MSLNexpressing cancers. In addition, the company develops MP0621, a Switch-DARPin candidate targeting CD16a, c-KIT, and CD47 as conditioning for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation; and Radio-DARPin Therapy (RDT) platform, a delivery system for effective and selective delivery of radioactive payloads to solid tumors. It has collaboration agreement with Orano Med SAS to develop novel Radio-DARPin therapeutics and an additional six targeted alpha therapeutics candidates and Eckert & Ziegler SE to develop Radio-DARPin therapeutics. Molecular Partners AG was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Schlieren, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Molecular Partners AG reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $9.3M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$61.7M in FY2025.
MOLN screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Molecular Partners Announces Clinical Progress in Phase 2 TACTIC Combination Trial of MP0317 for Patients with Cholangiocarcinoma
- Molecular Partners Showcases Bispecific Radio-DARPins at Gordon Research Conference
- Molecular Partners To Advance MP0726 For First Human Imaging In H2,2026; Provides MP0712 Update
- Molecular Partners Updates on Clinical Progress Across Expanding Pipeline of DARPin Radiotherapeutics
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 606 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,037 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 317,500 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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