Morien Resources Corp (MOX) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$12.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price −5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0170). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.0085 to C$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1562 – C$0.8105 · fair‑value band C$0.0085 – C$0.0170 · the C$0.1850 price screens above the C$0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Morien Resources Corp (MOX) currently trades at C$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 90.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue grew 31.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -85.2%. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.0085 (bear case) to C$0.0170 (bull case); at C$0.1850, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -91%, MOX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Morien Resources Corp., a mining development company, engages in the identification and purchase of mineral interests and projects in Canada. It holds royalty interests in the Donkin coal mine located in Cape Breton, Nova Scotia; and the Black Point aggregate project situated in Guysborough County, Nova Scotia. Morien Resources Corp.
Full company description
Morien Resources Corp., a mining development company, engages in the identification and purchase of mineral interests and projects in Canada. It holds royalty interests in the Donkin coal mine located in Cape Breton, Nova Scotia; and the Black Point aggregate project situated in Guysborough County, Nova Scotia. Morien Resources Corp. has a strategic partnership with Carver Companies, LLC ("Carver") for the identification and advancement of the Lazy Head Aggregate project. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Morien Resources Corp reported revenue of C$22.7K in FY2025 versus C$60.8K in FY2021, a compound −21.8%/yr. Reported net income was −C$543K in FY2025.
MOX screens 91% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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