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MPAC Group PLC (MPAC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MPAC Group PLC stock £2.12, price £3.43, that is 38.1% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials GB · ISIN GB0005991111

MG MPAC Group PLC logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

MPAC Group PLC

MPAC · LSE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 38% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.8 %/yr in GBP)
Fair value £2.12 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 35/100
Loss-making · -4.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 18/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£6.47 £1.88 Fair Value £2.12 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.88 – £6.47 · fair‑value band £1.90 – £2.31 · the £3.43 price screens above the £2.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Mpac Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides packaging and automation solutions to healthcare, clean energy, and food and beverage sectors worldwide. The company operates through Original Equipment and Service segments.

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It designs, develops, manufactures, and engineers packaging solutions; and offers automation and secondary packaging equipment, end-of-line robotics with integrated testing solutions, and at line instrumentation solutions.

The company offers product assembly, filling and dosing, product handling and infeed, cartoning, case packing, tray forming, and palletising solutions. It offers its products under the Lambert, Langen, Switchback, SIGA Vision, BCA, and CSi Palletising brand names.

The company was formerly known as Molins plc and changed its name to Mpac Group plc in January 2018. The company was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Coventry, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

MPAC Group PLC (MPAC) currently trades at £3.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.12, 38% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £3.07 per share, and 1 of the 5 models we run sit above the £3.43 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £2.12, and 4 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: £1.90 (bear) to £2.31 (bull), the price of £3.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

MPAC Group PLC reported revenue of £174M in FY2025 versus £94.3M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −£9.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap £103M Micro · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) £0.0300 · Net margin −5.5% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.0% · Revenue (TTM) £172M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −38%, MPAC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £1.90 Fair Value £2.12 Bull £2.31
Price £3.43 · Downside -38.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0257 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV £1.90 £2.12 £2.31 74
ROIC Compounder £1.90 £2.12 £2.31 72
EV/EBITDA £4.27 £6.34 £8.42 66
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV £1.90 £2.12 £2.31 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT £1.81 £3.07 £4.33 64
EV/EBITDA £4.27 £6.34 £8.42 66
EV/Revenue £0.7300 £1.89 £3.04 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder £1.90 £2.12 £2.31 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 21
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 33
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 57
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 71
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 54
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 54
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2020) → 5.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MPAC screens overvalued: fair value 38% below the price. Compare with SIE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −4.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.37× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.60× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cummins Inc CMI $450.07 $359.36 −20% vs MPAC
SIE SIE €263.65 €149.56 −43% vs MPAC
AMETEK, Inc AME $228.67 $125.74 −45% vs MPAC
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $280.95 $154.30 −45% vs MPAC
Sandvik AB SAND kr 357.40 kr 194.33 −46% vs MPAC
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $917.79 $492.92 −46% vs MPAC
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $375.86 $186.75 −50% vs MPAC
Emerson Electric Co EMR $162.35 $79.99 −51% vs MPAC
Eaton Corporation ETN $341.72 $156.90 −54% vs MPAC
GE Vernova Inc GEV $774.11 $143.50 −81% vs MPAC

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MPAC Group PLC: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MPAC Group PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPAC

Frequently asked questions

Is MPAC Group PLC (MPAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.12 versus a price of £3.43, about 38% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MPAC?
Our model-based fair value for MPAC Group PLC is £2.12 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £3.43.
What is the quality score of MPAC?
MPAC Group PLC has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £2.12 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.90, optimistic scenario £2.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MPAC Group PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £2.12, about 38% lower versus a price of £3.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £1.90, optimistic scenario £2.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
MPAC Group PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £172M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MPAC Group PLC it is £2.12 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of £3.43. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 3 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit).
Is MPAC Group PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, MPAC trades above its calculated fair value: price £3.43, fair value £2.12, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPAC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£3.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£2.12). For MPAC Group PLC the two are £1.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MPAC Group PLC worth?
The market values MPAC Group PLC at about £103M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is £3.43; our models calculate a fair value of £2.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPAC?
Our models span a range for MPAC Group PLC: cautious scenario £1.90, base £2.12, optimistic £2.31 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price £3.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
Balance-sheet figures for MPAC Group PLC (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPAC from its 52-week high?
MPAC Group PLC trades at £3.43, about 10% below its 52-week high of £3.80 and 63% above the low of £2.10 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £2.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MPAC Group PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MPAC Group PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price £3.43, calculated fair value £2.12 (−38%), Quality Score 35/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPAC calculated?
We run MPAC Group PLC through 5 models from 3 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £2.12 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. MPAC Group PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £3.43. Our model-based fair value is £2.12, about 38% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MPAC Group PLC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£2.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of MPAC Group PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
The market capitalisation of MPAC Group PLC is £103M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MPAC Group PLC is 0.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
Earnings per share at MPAC Group PLC are £0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
The net margin of MPAC Group PLC is −5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MPAC Group PLC is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MPAC Group PLC is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
The operating margin of MPAC Group PLC is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
Revenue at MPAC Group PLC is growing −2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MPAC Group PLC (MPAC)?
Earnings per share at MPAC Group PLC are growing +10.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MPAC Group PLC (MPAC) generate?
The free cash flow of MPAC Group PLC is −£3.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MPAC Group PLC (MPAC) carry?
The net debt of MPAC Group PLC is £58.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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