M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. ₹2.02, price ₹10.23, upside -80.3%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.05 – ₹23.99 · fair‑value band ₹1.52 – ₹2.53 · the ₹10.23 price screens above the ₹2.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI) currently trades at ₹10.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.02, implying the stock looks roughly 406.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹6.94 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ₹10.23 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹0.9900, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1.52 (bear) to ₹2.53 (bull), the price of ₹10.23 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. reported revenue of ₹0 in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹690K in FY2026, compounding +24.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹59.4M (≈ $619K) · P/E ratio 85.3 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.1200 · Net margin 1,339% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.8% · Operating margin −83.8% · Revenue (TTM) ₹46.0K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −80%, MPAGI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1.52Fair Value ₹2.02Bull ₹2.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.0585 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.10/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
2026 sits 58% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3629 stocks
Beats the sector median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−84% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)85.3× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)13.45× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.02 versus a price of ₹10.23, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MPAGI?
Our model-based fair value for M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹2.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹10.23.
What is the quality score of MPAGI?
M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1.52, optimistic scenario ₹2.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2.02, about −80% upside versus a price of ₹10.23 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1.52, optimistic scenario ₹2.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹46.0K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. it is ₹2.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹10.23. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MPAGI trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹10.23, fair value ₹2.02, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPAGI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹10.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2.02). For M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. the two are ₹8.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. worth?
The market values M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. at about ₹59.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹10.23; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPAGI?
Our models span a range for M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD.: cautious scenario ₹1.52, base ₹2.02, optimistic ₹2.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹10.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MPAGI?
M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 85.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹2.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 13.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
Balance-sheet figures for M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPAGI from its 52-week high?
M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. trades at ₹10.23, about 18% below its 52-week high of ₹12.41 and 28% above the low of ₹8.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD.?
From the same area (Materials) we also value TUTIALKA, Bharat Agri Fert and Realty Limited, 530433, AKTR, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹10.23, calculated fair value ₹2.02 (−80%), Quality Score 64/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPAGI calculated?
We run M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹2.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹10.23. Our model-based fair value is ₹2.02, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
The market capitalisation of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. is ₹59.4M (≈ $619K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
Earnings per share at M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. are ₹0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 85.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
The net margin of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. is 1,339% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. is −4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
The operating margin of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. is −83.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast are earnings growing at M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI)?
Earnings per share at M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. (MPAGI) generate?
The free cash flow of M.P.AGRO INDUSTRIES LTD. is −₹2.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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