Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited ₹67.99, price ₹38.55, upside +76.4%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹30.51 – ₹130.45 · fair‑value band ₹43.30 – ₹92.68 · the ₹38.55 price screens below the ₹67.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433) currently trades at ₹38.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹67.99, implying the stock looks roughly 43.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹204.11 per share, and 11 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹38.55 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹22.21, and 5 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹43.30 (bear) to ₹92.68 (bull), the price of ₹38.55 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹2.8B in FY2026 versus ₹6.4B in FY2022, a compound −19.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹121K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹385M (≈ $4.0M) · P/E ratio 4.5 · EPS (TTM) ₹6.37 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Free cash flow ₹269M · Net debt ₹219M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 76%, 530433 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹43.30Fair Value ₹67.99Bull ₹92.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.11 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.4% (2021) → 1.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3629 stocks
Beats the sector median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+76% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/530433
Frequently asked questions
Is Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹67.99 versus a price of ₹38.55, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 530433?
Our model-based fair value for Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited is ₹67.99 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹38.55.
What is the quality score of 530433?
Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹67.99 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹43.30, optimistic scenario ₹92.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹67.99, about +76% upside versus a price of ₹38.55 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹43.30, optimistic scenario ₹92.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited it is ₹67.99 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹38.55. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 530433 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹38.55, fair value ₹67.99, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 530433?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹38.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹67.99). For Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited the two are ₹29.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited worth?
The market values Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited at about ₹385M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹38.55; our models calculate a fair value of ₹67.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 530433?
Our models span a range for Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹43.30, base ₹67.99, optimistic ₹92.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹38.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 530433?
Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹67.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 0.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 530433 from its 52-week high?
Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited trades at ₹38.55, about 18% below its 52-week high of ₹47.15 and 25% above the low of ₹30.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹67.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited?
From the same area (Materials) we also value TUTIALKA, Bharat Agri Fert and Realty Limited, MPAGI, AKTR, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹38.55, calculated fair value ₹67.99 (+76%), Quality Score 66/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 530433 calculated?
We run Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹67.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited currently trades 76 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ₹38.55. Our model-based fair value is ₹67.99, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹43.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹43.30 to ₹92.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
The market capitalisation of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited is ₹385M (≈ $4.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
Earnings per share at Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited are ₹6.37 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
The dividend yield of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited is 0.1% (payout 0.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
The net margin of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited is 0.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433) generate?
The free cash flow of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited is ₹269M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited (530433) carry?
The net debt of Shiva Global Agro Industries Limited is ₹219M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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