Metro Performance Glass Ltd (MPP) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$25.0M (≈ $18.0M) · ISIN NZMPGE0001S5
What is Metro Performance Glass Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 77% below our fair value of A$4.03.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Metro Performance Glass Ltd is A$4.03 per share against a price of A$0.9350, so the fair value sits 331% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$4.10 to A$4.03 (−1.7%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −10.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$2.03 to A$6.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0237 – A$1.72 · fair‑value band A$2.03 – A$6.03 · the A$0.9350 price screens below the A$4.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Metro Performance Glass Ltd (MPP) currently trades at A$0.9350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.03, implying the stock looks roughly 76.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$8.58 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the A$0.9350 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at A$1.21, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Metro Performance Glass Ltd generated revenue of A$208M at a net margin of −0.5%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.0%. Net debt stands at A$97.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.03 (bear case) to A$6.03 (bull case); at A$0.9350, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 331%, MPP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$8.58) versus Growth DCF (A$1.21). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Metro Performance Glass Limited, together with its subsidiaries, supplies double glazed, processed flat glass, and related products for the residential and commercial building sectors in New Zealand and Australia.
Full company description
Metro Performance Glass Limited, together with its subsidiaries, supplies double glazed, processed flat glass, and related products for the residential and commercial building sectors in New Zealand and Australia. The company offers glass splashbacks, mirror glass, internal glass partitions, and glass canopies and facades, as well as floors and stairs and commercial glass; and shower glass, such as hinged door showers, bath and shower screens, sliding door showers, and shower hardware. It also provides channel, point fix, and mini post balustrades; rails for balustrades; and other balustrades, as well as pool fences. In addition, it offers float, low emissivity, solar control, decorative, safety, security, heat strengthened, noise reduction, privacy, and fire-resistant glass, sunx reflect low emissivity glass; and glass door and hardware, double and triple glazing Low E, and retrofit double glazing. Further, the company provides metro direct, commercial glass design and glazing, and technical services. Metro Performance Glass Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Metro Performance Glass Ltd reported revenue of 210M NZD in FY2026 versus 236M NZD in FY2022, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −946K NZD in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 242 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $454.31 | $208.50 | −54% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.23 | $44.75 | −69% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $57.25 | $16.85 | −71% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €81.20 | €97.97 | +21% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 577.80 | CHF 307.66 | −47% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $377.25 | $363.09 | −4% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €66.79 | −23% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $74.64 | $53.22 | −29% |
| Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL | $356.53 | $340.70 | −4% |
| BELIMO Holding BEAN | CHF 878.50 | CHF 227.18 | −74% |
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