M-tron Industries, Inc (MPTI) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $415M
M-tron Industries, Inc
MPTI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($40.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range $8.36 – $100.75 · fair‑value band $24.66 – $40.43 · the $88.04 price screens above the $33.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
M-tron Industries, Inc (MPTI) currently trades at $88.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.16, implying the stock looks roughly 62.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, M-tron Industries, Inc generated revenue of $56.4M at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $20.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $24.66 (bear case) to $40.43 (bull case); at $88.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 134% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -62%, MPTI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($47.19) versus Asset-Based ($9.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
M-tron Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets frequency and spectrum control products to control the frequency and timing of signals in electronic circuits in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
M-tron Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets frequency and spectrum control products to control the frequency and timing of signals in electronic circuits in the United States and internationally. The company provides radio frequency, microwave, and millimeter wave filters; cavity, crystal, ceramic, lumped element, and switched filters; high performance and high frequency oven-controlled crystal oscillators (OCXO), integrated phase-locked loops OCXOs, temperature-compensated crystal oscillators, voltage-controlled crystal oscillators, and low jitter and harsh environment oscillators; crystal resonators, integrated microwave assemblies, and solid-state power amplifier products. It serves commercial and military aerospace, defense, space, avionics, and industrial markets. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
M-tron Industries, Inc reported revenue of $54.4M in FY2025 versus $26.7M in FY2021, a compound +19.5%/yr. Reported net income was $8.4M in FY2025, compounding +52.0%/yr from FY2021.
MPTI screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know
- M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know
- M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note
- AMTM or MPTI: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 625 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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