M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of M-tron Industries, Inc. stock $56.42, price $60.34, that is 6.5% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range $8.36 – $100.75 · fair‑value band $31.65 – $72.26 · the $60.34 price screens above the $56.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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M-tron Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets frequency and spectrum control products to control the frequency and timing of signals in electronic circuits in the United States and internationally.
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The company provides radio frequency, microwave, and millimeter wave filters; cavity, crystal, ceramic, lumped element, and switched filters; high performance and high frequency oven-controlled crystal oscillators (OCXO), integrated phase-locked loops OCXOs, temperature-compensated crystal oscillators, voltage-controlled crystal oscillators, and low jitter and harsh environment oscillators; crystal resonators, integrated microwave assemblies, and solid-state power amplifier products.
It serves commercial and military aerospace, defense, space, avionics, and industrial markets. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Stock analysis
M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) currently trades at $60.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $56.42, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $55.27 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $60.34 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.90, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $31.65 (bear) to $72.26 (bull), the price of $60.34 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
M-tron Industries, Inc. reported revenue of $54.4M in FY2025 versus $26.7M in FY2021, a compound +19.5%/yr. Reported net income was $8.4M in FY2025, compounding +52.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $257M Micro · P/E ratio 23.7 · P/S ratio 4.42 · EPS (TTM) $2.55 · Net margin 16.4% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 11.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −7%, MPTI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$31.65Fair Value $56.42Bull$72.26
Price $60.34 · Downside -6.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.19 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$25.35$38.02$67.0776
Growth DCF$24.54$39.78$60.7275
Owner Earnings$18.80$30.83$50.9572
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$25.35$38.02$67.0776
Owner Earnings$18.80$30.83$50.9572
5Y Revenue Exit$26.00$45.08$72.5868
5Y EBITDA Exit$33.28$61.49$99.5970
5Y P/E Exit$36.54$68.88$108.9866
10Y Revenue Exit$24.74$41.97$69.6562
10Y EBITDA Exit$29.79$53.11$93.1063
10Y P/E Exit$31.76$58.09$100.6459
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$13.22$81.41$113.6063
Lynch FV$23.36$33.37$43.3861
PEG = 1.0$23.36$33.37$43.3857
EPV$18.17$19.86$21.2470
Multiples
P/E Multiple$40.81$54.42$68.0263
P/S Multiple$24.78$33.04$41.3058
P/B Multiple$65.41$87.21$109.0155
EV/EBIT$47.37$61.58$75.7963
EV/EBITDA$40.09$51.87$63.6564
EV/Revenue$26.30$35.54$44.7752
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$8.51$12.90$16.1252
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$24.54$39.78$60.7275
Rev-Margin DCF$26.00$44.28$70.2468
Economic Profit
Residual Income$12.76$14.52$19.1771
ROIC Compounder$19.78$24.42$30.1170
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$38.69$55.27$71.8567
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleLinda M BilesExecutive VP - Finance2× since Apr 14, 2026: 1,026 shares, avg. $19.92$20,435May 4, 2026
SaleCameron PforrCEO and CFO840 shares at $66.78$56,095May 4, 2026
SaleWilliam Arnold DraftsPresident361 shares at $66.78$24,108May 4, 2026
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.97/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+44.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 19%
2025 sits 105% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.7% a year for the price.
Compare M-tron Industries, Inc. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 653 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−6.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.4% · Above median
Return on assets12.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)16.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)11.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.8% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B4.07× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.42× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)31.7× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "M-tron Industries, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPTI
Frequently asked questions
Is M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $56.42 versus a price of $60.34, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MPTI?
Our model-based fair value for M-tron Industries, Inc. is $56.42 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $60.34.
What is the quality score of MPTI?
M-tron Industries, Inc. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $56.42 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.65, optimistic scenario $72.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the M-tron Industries, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $56.42, about 7% lower versus a price of $60.34 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $31.65, optimistic scenario $72.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
M-tron Industries, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $58.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, M-tron Industries, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +22.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.7 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MPTI use?
Our models discount M-tron Industries, Inc. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.74, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For M-tron Industries, Inc. that is +22.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at M-tron Industries, Inc. grew +12.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +22.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into M-tron Industries, Inc. (+22.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.10 %: that much free cash flow M-tron Industries, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For M-tron Industries, Inc. it is $56.42 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $60.34. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is M-tron Industries, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, MPTI trades above its calculated fair value: price $60.34, fair value $56.42, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPTI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($60.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($56.42). For M-tron Industries, Inc. the two are $3.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is M-tron Industries, Inc. worth?
The market values M-tron Industries, Inc. at about $257M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $60.34; our models calculate a fair value of $56.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPTI?
Our models span a range for M-tron Industries, Inc.: cautious scenario $31.65, base $56.42, optimistic $72.26 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $60.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MPTI?
M-tron Industries, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.7 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $56.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 4.1, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 19.8.
What is the PEG ratio of MPTI?
The PEG ratio of M-tron Industries, Inc. is 1.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
Balance-sheet figures for M-tron Industries, Inc. (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 12.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPTI from its 52-week high?
M-tron Industries, Inc. trades at $60.34, about 40% below its 52-week high of $100.75 and 38% above the low of $43.64 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $56.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to M-tron Industries, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is M-tron Industries, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $60.34, calculated fair value $56.42 (−7%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MPTI calculated?
We run M-tron Industries, Inc. through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $56.42 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. M-tron Industries, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $60.34. Our model-based fair value is $56.42, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with M-tron Industries, Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($31.65 to $72.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of M-tron Industries, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
The market capitalisation of M-tron Industries, Inc. is $257M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of M-tron Industries, Inc. is 4.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
Earnings per share at M-tron Industries, Inc. are $2.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
The net margin of M-tron Industries, Inc. is 16.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of M-tron Industries, Inc. is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of M-tron Industries, Inc. is 16.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
The operating margin of M-tron Industries, Inc. is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
Revenue at M-tron Industries, Inc. is growing +13.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI)?
Earnings per share at M-tron Industries, Inc. are growing −18.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) hold?
M-tron Industries, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $20.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 9, 2026