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Melrose Industries PLC (MRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 5.8B GBX

MI Melrose Industries PLC MRO · LSE
Price£4.66
Fair Value£5.12
Upside+9.9%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.55% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range £2.91 – £7.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £5.11 to £5.12 (+0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (£2.91 to £7.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£6.48 £1.68 Fair Value £5.12 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.68 – £6.48 · fair‑value band £2.91 – £7.79 · the £4.66 price screens below the £5.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Melrose Industries PLC (MRO) currently trades at £4.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.12, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Melrose Industries PLC generated revenue of £3.6B at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at £1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £2.91 (bear case) to £7.79 (bull case); at £4.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 10%, MRO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.2600 £1.53 £3.45 80
Residual Income £2.13 £2.60 £5.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF £1.87 £4.85 £8.99 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.3000 £1.43 £4.11 38
Owner Earnings £6.19 £13.26 £26.26 31
5Y Revenue Exit £1.87 £5.02 £9.61 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £4.51 £10.84 £19.38 41
5Y P/E Exit £2.38 £6.15 £10.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit £1.21 £4.03 £8.97 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £3.10 £8.37 £17.52 37
10Y P/E Exit £1.68 £4.88 £10.00 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £2.02 £11.65 £16.21 54
Lynch FV £3.29 £4.70 £6.11 50
PEG = 1.0 £3.29 £4.70 £6.11 46
EPV £2.77 £3.38 £3.90 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.5800 £1.15 £1.74 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.5800 £1.00 £1.22 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £4.68 £6.24 £7.79 63
P/S Multiple £3.79 £5.05 £6.31 58
P/B Multiple £3.79 £5.05 £6.31 55
EV/EBIT £5.32 £7.46 £9.59 53
EV/EBITDA £6.87 £9.52 £12.17 54
EV/Revenue £2.55 £4.10 £5.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.13 £1.52 £2.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.2600 £1.53 £3.45 80
Rev-Margin DCF £1.87 £4.85 £8.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £2.13 £2.60 £5.99 76
ROIC Compounder £3.09 £4.81 £6.41 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £4.86 £6.95 £9.03 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£6.95) versus Dividend Discount (£1.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin 10.3%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow 128M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 16.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.4%
EPS (TTM) £0.2900
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +181%
Net debt 1.7B GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Melrose Industries PLC, together with its subsidiaries, designs and delivers aerospace components and systems for civil and defence markets in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through Engines and Airframes segments.

Full company description

Melrose Industries PLC, together with its subsidiaries, designs and delivers aerospace components and systems for civil and defence markets in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through Engines and Airframes segments. The Engines segment offers structural engineered components; parts repair; commercial and aftermarket contracts; engine mount structures; fan cases and turbine cases; and shafts and rotating components to engines original equipment manufacturers. The Airframes segment provides civil and defence air frames, including lightweight composite and metallic structures; electrical distribution systems and components; wing structures; empennage; fuselage; electrical wiring interconnection systems ("EWIS"); landing gear and ice protection systems; and aircraft transparencies to airframe original equipment manufacturers. The company was formerly known as New Melrose Industries PLC and changed its name to Melrose Industries PLC in November 2015. Melrose Industries PLC was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Melrose Industries PLC reported revenue of £3.6B in FY2025 versus £6.7B in FY2021, a compound −14.3%/yr. Reported net income was £370M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£3.6B
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−21.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+13.8%
Revenue −14.3%/yr
FY21 £6.7B
FY22 £7.5B
FY23 £3.4B
FY24 £3.5B
FY25 £3.6B
Net income
FY21 −£500M
FY22 −£292M
FY23 −£1.0B
FY24 −£49.0M
FY25 £370M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Melrose Industries PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MRO

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 61.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.72× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 0
FUTURE 42 · sector 23
PAST 52 · sector 28
HEALTH 73 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Melrose Industries PLC (MRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £5.12 versus a price of £4.66, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MRO?
Our model-based fair value for Melrose Industries PLC is £5.12 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £4.66.
What is the quality score of MRO?
Melrose Industries PLC has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Melrose Industries PLC (MRO)?
Melrose Industries PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £3.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MRO?
The net profit margin of Melrose Industries PLC is about 10.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Melrose Industries PLC pay a dividend?
Melrose Industries PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.53% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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