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MSCL.TO (MSCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of MSCL.TO C$1.87, price C$12.01, upside -84.4%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · CA · ISIN CA80401L3083

MT Thin data Sep 24, 2026

MSCL.TO

MSCL · TO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$1.87 · Strongly overvalued (−84.4%)
!Quality 21/100
!Weak Growth
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$26.40 C$2.64 Fair Value C$1.87 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$2.64 – C$26.40 · fair‑value band C$1.24 – C$2.34 · the C$12.01 price screens above the C$1.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Satellos Bioscience Inc., a clinical-stage drug development company, focuses on restoring natural muscle repair and regeneration in degenerative muscle diseases in Canada, the United States, and Australia.

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Satellos Bioscience Inc., a clinical-stage drug development company, focuses on restoring natural muscle repair and regeneration in degenerative muscle diseases in Canada, the United States, and Australia. The company uses its proprietary discovery platform MyoReGenX, an automated microscopy system that recapitulates the muscle stem cell environment ex-vivo. It develops SAT-3247, an oral, small molecule drug candidate for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy disease. The company has a license agreement the with Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (OHRI); and an option agreement with the University of British Columbia. Satellos Bioscience Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

MSCL.TO (MSCL) currently trades at C$12.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.87, 84.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$1.24 (bear) to C$2.34 (bull), the price of C$12.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

MSCL.TO reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$25.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$253M (≈ $178M) · EPS (TTM) C$−2.54 · Return on equity −50.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −69.3% · Free cash flow −$24.0M · Net cash $9.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −84%, MSCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$1.24 Fair Value C$1.87 Bull C$2.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9500 C$1.27 C$1.90 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9500 C$1.27 C$1.90 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MSCL screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

Compare MSCL.TO with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 576 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −84.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −31.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.41× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $527.67 $580.44 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $752.25 $1,275 +69%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$175.35 A$192.89 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,354,000 KRW 1,489,400 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MSCL.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSCL

Frequently asked questions

Is MSCL.TO (MSCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.87 versus a price of C$12.01, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MSCL?
Our model-based fair value for MSCL.TO is C$1.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$12.01.
What is the quality score of MSCL?
MSCL.TO has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.24, optimistic scenario C$2.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MSCL.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.87, about −84% upside versus a price of C$12.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$1.24, optimistic scenario C$2.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MSCL.TO it is C$1.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$12.01. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MSCL.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MSCL trades above its calculated fair value: price C$12.01, fair value C$1.87, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MSCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$12.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.87). For MSCL.TO the two are C$10.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MSCL.TO worth?
The market values MSCL.TO at about C$253M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$12.01; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MSCL?
Our models span a range for MSCL.TO: cautious scenario C$1.24, base C$1.87, optimistic C$2.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$12.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for MSCL.TO (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −50.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MSCL from its 52-week high?
MSCL.TO trades at C$12.01, about 33% below its 52-week high of C$17.85 and 54% above the low of C$7.80 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MSCL.TO?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MSCL.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$12.01, calculated fair value C$1.87 (−84%), Quality Score 21/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MSCL calculated?
We run MSCL.TO through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$1.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. MSCL.TO itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$12.01. Our model-based fair value is C$1.87, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MSCL.TO right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$2.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$1.24 to C$2.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of MSCL.TO

How large is the market capitalisation of MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
The market capitalisation of MSCL.TO is C$253M (≈ $178M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
Earnings per share at MSCL.TO are C$−2.54. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MSCL.TO is −50.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MSCL.TO (MSCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MSCL.TO is −69.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does MSCL.TO (MSCL) generate?
The free cash flow of MSCL.TO is −$24.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does MSCL.TO (MSCL) hold?
MSCL.TO holds more cash than debt, $9.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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