MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc (MSM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc stock $104, price $113, that is 7.9% below the price, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc
MSM · USThe stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $61.80 – $132.82 · fair‑value band $69.61 – $141.26 · the $113.27 price screens above the $104.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Company profile
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
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The company's metalworking and MRO products include cutting tools, abrasives, machining fluids, measuring instruments, metalworking products, machinery and accessories, tooling components, fasteners, flat stock products, raw materials, machinery hand and power tools, safety and janitorial supplies, plumbing supplies, materials handling products, power transmission components, and electrical supplies.
It also offers stock-keeping units through its catalogs and brochures; e-commerce channels, including its website; inventory management solutions; and customer care centers, customer fulfillment centers, regional inventory centers and warehouses.
In addition, the company serves individual machine shops, manufacturing companies, and government agencies. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
Stock analysis
MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc (MSM) currently trades at $113.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $104.28, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $75.73 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $113.27 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $34.77, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $69.61 (bear) to $141.26 (bull), the price of $113.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc reported revenue of $4.0B in FY2026 versus $3.7B in FY2022, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $223M in FY2026, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $6.3B Mid · P/E ratio 28.5 · P/S ratio 1.58 · EPS (TTM) $3.98 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −8%, MSM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $29.0M, most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Buying cluster
- BuyMitchell JacobsonDirector, 10% owner2× since Nov 18, 2025: 272,870 shares, avg. $113.34$30.9MOct 23, 2026
- BuyReuben E SloneDirector433 shares at $115.77$50,129Oct 23, 2026
- SaleRudina SeseriDirector1,800 shares at $86.83$156,294Feb 2, 2026
- BuyPhilip PellerDirector6,666 shares at $90.14$600,873Nov 13, 2025
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
Watch MSM, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
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Compare MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Fair value gap by industry
- Return on assets by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
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- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indutrade AB INDT | kr 267.20 | kr 293.92 | +10% | vs MSM |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$88.62 | C$74.26 | −16% | vs MSM |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $304.34 | $250.18 | −18% | vs MSM |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $52.99 | $41.28 | −22% | vs MSM |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $283.39 | $205.08 | −28% | vs MSM |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$184.15 | C$127.80 | −31% | vs MSM |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $292.68 | $151.74 | −48% | vs MSM |
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,441 | $634.60 | −56% | vs MSM |
| QXO, Inc QXO | $11.56 | $1.62 | −86% | vs MSM |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $233.70 | $32.42 | −86% | vs MSM |
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Key figures of MSC Industrial Direct Company Inc
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