Metallium Limited (MTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Metallium Limited A$0.06, price A$0.25, upside -76.2%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0210 – A$1.33 · fair‑value band A$0.0425 – A$0.0765 · the A$0.2500 price screens above the A$0.0595 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
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Metallium Limited, through its subsidiaries, explores for mineral tenements in Western Australia and Québec, Canada. It operates through two segments: mineral exploration and metal recovery technology. The company explores for gold, niobium, base metals, lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite, and rare earth elements.
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Metallium Limited, through its subsidiaries, explores for mineral tenements in Western Australia and Québec, Canada. It operates through two segments: mineral exploration and metal recovery technology. The company explores for gold, niobium, base metals, lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite, and rare earth elements. Metallium Limited was formerly known as MTM Critical Metals Limited and changed its name to Metallium Limited in July 2025. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Stock analysis
Metallium Limited (MTM) currently trades at A$0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0595, 76.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0425 (bear) to A$0.0765 (bull), the price of A$0.2500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Metallium Limited reported revenue of A$101K in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$42.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$185M (≈ $129M) · P/S ratio 68.1 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0700 · Return on equity −60.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −37.4% · Operating margin −801% · Revenue growth (YoY) +24.4% · Free cash flow −A$50.2M.
What moves the price
The share trades about 81% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −76%, MTM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0425Fair Value A$0.0595Bull A$0.0765
Price A$0.2500 · Upside -76.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2018) → −29,915.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 376 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Below median
Fair Value upside−69.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−34.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth24.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)46.32× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 78
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Metallium Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTM
Frequently asked questions
Is Metallium Limited (MTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0595 versus a price of A$0.2500, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTM?
Our model-based fair value for Metallium Limited is A$0.0595 (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2500.
What is the quality score of MTM?
Metallium Limited has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metallium Limited (MTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0595 (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0425, optimistic scenario A$0.0765. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metallium Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0595, about −76% upside versus a price of A$0.2500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0425, optimistic scenario A$0.0765. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metallium Limited it is A$0.0595 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of A$0.2500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metallium Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, MTM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2500, fair value A$0.0595, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0595). For Metallium Limited the two are A$0.1905 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metallium Limited worth?
The market values Metallium Limited at about A$185M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0595 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTM?
Our models span a range for Metallium Limited: cautious scenario A$0.0425, base A$0.0595, optimistic A$0.0765 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price A$0.2500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metallium Limited (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity −60.4%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTM from its 52-week high?
Metallium Limited trades at A$0.2500, about 81% below its 52-week high of A$1.33 and 9% above the low of A$0.2300 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0595 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metallium Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Korea Zinc Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metallium Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price A$0.2500, calculated fair value A$0.0595 (−76%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTM calculated?
We run Metallium Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0595, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Metallium Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was A$0.2500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0595, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metallium Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0765). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Metallium Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
The market capitalisation of Metallium Limited is A$185M (≈ $129M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metallium Limited is 68.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
Earnings per share at Metallium Limited are A$−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metallium Limited is −60.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metallium Limited is −37.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metallium Limited (MTM)?
The operating margin of Metallium Limited is −801% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metallium Limited (MTM)?
Revenue at Metallium Limited is growing +24.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Metallium Limited (MTM) generate?
The free cash flow of Metallium Limited is −A$50.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Metallium Limited (MTM) hold?
Metallium Limited holds more cash than debt, A$59.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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