Matrix Service Company (MTRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $393M
Matrix Service Company
MTRX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $9.13 to $35.73 (+291.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 200% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($26.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.46 – $15.82 · fair‑value band $26.94 – $44.51 · the $11.91 price screens below the $35.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Matrix Service Company (MTRX) currently trades at $11.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.73, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Matrix Service Company generated revenue of $845M at a net margin of -1.8%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $203M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.94 (bear case) to $44.51 (bull case); at $11.91, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 200%, MTRX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($48.47) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Matrix Service Company provides engineering, fabrication, construction, and maintenance services to support critical energy infrastructure and industrial markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally.
Full company description
Matrix Service Company provides engineering, fabrication, construction, and maintenance services to support critical energy infrastructure and industrial markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company's Storage and Terminal Solutions segment offers engineering, procurement, fabrication, and construction services related to cryogenic, specialty tanks, and terminals for LNG, NGLs, hydrogen, ammonia, propane, butane, liquid nitrogen/liquid oxygen, and liquid petroleum; and plant work, truck and rail loading/offloading facilities, marine structures, and storage tank and terminal maintenance and repair, as well as undertakes work related to aboveground crude oil and refined product storage tanks and terminals. This segment also provides engineered specialty tank products, including geodesic domes, aluminum internal floating roofs, floating suction and skimmer systems, roof drain systems, and floating roof seals. Its Utility and Power Infrastructure segment undertakes power delivery work, including construction of new substations, upgrades of existing substations, and maintenance. This segment also provides engineering, procurement, fabrication, and construction services for LNG utility peak shaving facilities; and construction services to various power generation facilities, including natural gas fired facilities. The company's Process and Industrial Facilities segment offers plant maintenance, repair, and turnarounds, including refining and processing of crude oil, fractionating, and marketing of natural gas and natural gas liquids; and engineering, procurement, fabrication, and construction for refinery upgrades and retrofits for hydrogen processing, production, loading, and distribution facilities, as well as constructs thermal vacuum test chambers and other infrastructure for aerospace, defense, and other industries. Matrix Service Company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Matrix Service Company reported revenue of $769M in FY2025 versus $673M in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$29.5M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- 2 Reasons to Like MTRX (and 1 Not So Much)
- INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Matrix Service Company - MTRX
- Here’s What Positions Matrix Service Company (MTRX) for Growth
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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